Houston Dynamo
San Jose Earthquakes| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H53%D24%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H46%D26%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H42%D26%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H44%D22%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H46%D22%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H42%D26%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H45%D25%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H42%D26%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H47%D22%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–0 | H54%D24%A22% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Houston's home form and a solid defensive record (24 GA) give them the edge in a tight Western Conference matchup, but San Jose's potent attack (38 goals, joint-best outside the top two) keeps this close; the Dynamo's modest scoring output points to a low-scoring, draw-prone game.
Houston are top of the West with strong recent defensive form and home advantage, while San Jose arrive on a four-losses-in-five slump and missing several key attackers; the Dynamo's home edge and H2H control make a home win most likely.
First-place Houston Dynamo hold home advantage in a tightly contested clash near the top of the Western Conference, with top scorer Guilherme leading their attack against a prolific San Jose side.
Houston Dynamo currently lead the Western Conference and hold a strong historical advantage over San Jose. However, San Jose is high-scoring (38 GF) and sits just behind Houston in the standings, making a competitive draw or a narrow home win the most likely outcomes.
Houston leads the West at home with strong defensive record (24 GA) and historical dominance (19-10-5, unbeaten last 4 vs San Jose), but San Jose's elite attack (38 GF) and six-game unbeaten streak keeps it close, pointing to a narrow home win rather than a comfortable one.
Houston is top of the Western Conference and holds home advantage, with a strong defensive record (1.26 GA/game) and historical dominance in this H2H (unbeaten in last 4 vs San Jose, ~19-10-5 all-time). San Jose, however, is in fine form on a six-game unbeaten streak and boasts the more potent attack (38 GF, led by Judd on 11 goals), so the visitors remain a serious threat — but both teams' season-long profiles show unusually low draw rates (10-15%), pushing the draw probability below league average.
San Jose Earthquakes hold a strong recent home record against Houston Dynamo and are on a six-game unbeaten streak, but Houston's historical advantage in the series and recent unbeaten run against San Jose (four matches) balances the probabilities, making a draw the most likely single outcome.
Houston sit top of the West, hold a dominant all-time series record (19-10-5, unbeaten in the last four vs San Jose), and get home advantage, making them the favorite. San Jose's attack (38 goals, Judd on 11) keeps an away result live, but both sides draw rarely (5 combined draws in 38 games), so I shade the draw below league average and take a narrow Houston win.
Houston Dynamo lead the Western Conference and are unbeaten in their last four meetings with San Jose, while the Earthquakes have scored more but conceded more; home advantage and recent H2H favor Houston narrowly.
Houston’s home advantage and stronger overall results give them the edge, but San Jose’s potent attack makes this a competitive matchup. Houston’s defensive record points toward a relatively tight game, with 1-1 the likeliest individual scoreline.
Houston leads the Western Conference and holds a strong historical edge over San Jose (19-10-5 all-time, unbeaten in last four H2H), plus they have home advantage at Shell Energy Stadium. However, San Jose's superior attacking output (38 GF, +11 GD) and proximity in the table (33 pts vs 35 pts) keep this competitive, making a narrow home win the most likely outcome.
Houston lead the West with a sturdy home base and low concession rate, while San Jose match them on points pace with superior attack and GD; historical H2H slightly favors the Dynamo but both sides' quality and SJ's scoring threat make a tight, low-scoring draw the modal outcome.
Houston sit top of the West with a strong defensive record (24 GA) and historically dominate this H2H (unbeaten in last 4 vs San Jose, 19-10-5 all-time). San Jose are dangerous offensively (38 GF) but Houston's home advantage and tendency toward decisive results (only 2 draws in 19 matches) give them the edge.
Houston's elite defense (485-minute shutout streak recently) faces a San Jose side in freefall with 1 point from 18 and 18 goals conceded in 6 matches. The Dynamo are unbeaten in their last 4 H2H meetings and return home after a rare loss, while the Quakes are missing key scorer Timo Werner to injury.
Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes