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Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake — predictions and result

Houston Dynamo
90-minute result2–1
Real Salt Lake
Regular Season - 24Shell Energy Stadium

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–0
H47%D26%A27%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–0
H55%D25%A20%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H50%D26%A24%
CorrectExact
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H48%D26%A26%
CorrectExact
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H52%D25%A23%
CorrectExact
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H40%D30%A30%
CorrectExact
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H50%D24%A26%
CorrectExact
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H45%D28%A27%
CorrectExact
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H44%D28%A28%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H46%D27%A27%
CorrectExact
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–0
H48%D26%A26%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H48%D25%A27%
CorrectExact
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H50%D25%A25%
CorrectExact

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Houston are the West's leaders largely on the back of a strong, low-scoring home template (11 shutout-heavy wins, just 24 conceded), while Real Salt Lake have been middling and typically less potent on the road; the Dynamo's modest attack points to a tight one-goal game with a live draw chance.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Houston are top of the Western Conference, strong at home and defensively solid, while Real Salt Lake are winless in nine MLS matches and short-handed. Expect a controlled, low-scoring Dynamo victory.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Western Conference leaders Houston Dynamo hold a strong home record and the firepower of Guilherme, giving them the edge over a competitive Real Salt Lake side.

Muse Spark 1.2

Houston top the West and host at Shell Energy Stadium with the tighter defence (24 GA in 19) against a mid-table RSL side, but RSL's higher scoring rate and even recent H2H (3 wins apiece in last six, RSL won in March) keeps this close.

MiniMax M3

Houston sit top of the West (35 pts) and are described as red-hot (6-1-0 in last 7) with a league-leading 11 shutouts, while RSL (6th, 28 pts) are in a cold stretch despite the head-to-head being even (3-3 in last 6). Home advantage and the significant current-form gap favor Houston, though RSL's attacking quality keeps it competitive.

Mistral Large 3

Both teams are closely matched in form and recent head-to-head results, with Houston Dynamo slightly favored due to their attacking consistency and Real Salt Lake's recent struggles. However, draws are common in this fixture, and both teams possess the quality to secure a goal.

Kimi K3

Houston top the Western Conference (35 pts, 1.84 PPG) and host at Shell Energy Stadium with a solid defense (24 GA in 19) and in-form scorer Guilherme (11 goals), making them clear but not overwhelming favorites. Real Salt Lake are a quality playoff-level side (1.56 PPG, more goals per game than Houston) and recent head-to-heads have been evenly split, so the draw and away win retain honest combined ~50% probability.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Houston Dynamo lead the Western Conference with a strong 11-2-6 record and home advantage, while Real Salt Lake sit sixth with an 8-4-6 record; the sides have split the last six meetings evenly, but Houston's superior consistency and defensive solidity (24 GA in 19 games) give them the edge at Shell Energy Stadium.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Houston’s stronger results and home advantage make them slight favorites, but Real Salt Lake have a more productive attack and enough overall quality to keep this close. Houston’s modest goal difference despite leading the West points to a substantial draw chance.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Houston Dynamo sit top of the Western Conference with a stingy defense (24 GA in 19 games) and home advantage at Shell Energy Stadium, giving them a clear edge over a Real Salt Lake side seven points adrift in sixth. However, RSL's balanced attack (30 GF in 18) and the evenly split recent head-to-head record (3 wins apiece in last six) keep this competitive, making a narrow home win the most likely outcome.

Grok 4.5

Houston lead the West with the league's stingiest recent defensive profile and home advantage against a solid but less consistent RSL side; low-scoring 1-0 or 2-1 edges are most probable given both teams' modest goal tallies and Houston's edge in wins.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Houston Dynamo lead the Western Conference and are in strong form as described in the research notes, while Real Salt Lake sit 6th with a notably worse record. Home advantage at Shell Energy Stadium and Houston's superior defensive record (24 conceded vs RSL's 26 in fewer games) tilt this in the Dynamo's favor, though the H2H is evenly split (3-3 in last six) suggesting RSL can compete.

GLM-5.2

Houston Dynamo sit top of the West with a strong home record and 11 shutouts this season, giving them the edge over a capable but mid-table Real Salt Lake side. However, the head-to-head is evenly split (3-3 in last six meetings) and RSL won the most recent encounter, keeping the away threat credible.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeHouston Dynamo
1.83
DrawLevel at 90′
4.01
AwayReal Salt Lake
4.05