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Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas — predictions and result

Houston Dynamo
90-minute result2–2
FC Dallas
Regular Season - 30BBVA Compass Stadium

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H42%D27%A31%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H37%D31%A32%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H44%D28%A28%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H42%D26%A32%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H46%D25%A29%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H35%D30%A35%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H46%D25%A29%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H45%D30%A25%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H40%D27%A33%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H43%D28%A29%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H46%D27%A27%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H42%D26%A32%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H50%D25%A25%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Houston's strong home-based record and derby intensity give them a modest edge, but their low-scoring attack (under 1.5 goals per game) meets a Dallas side that travels well and has only lost five all season. Expect a tight, cagey Texas Derby with a high chance of a level scoreline.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Houston's strong home record and home-field edge in the Texas Derby narrowly outweigh FC Dallas's better recent away form, but the rivalry and both teams' compactness make a low-scoring draw very live, with 1-1 the most likely exact score.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Conference leaders Houston Dynamo have the home advantage in this Texas Derby clash, though Petar Musa and a potent FC Dallas attack will make it a tightly contested affair.

Muse Spark 1.2

Houston's home advantage as Western Conference leaders meets Dallas's potent away attack (7-3-5 on the road, 1.86 gpg) and 3-4-2-1 form; Houston's recent 3-3 with San Diego shows both firepower and late vulnerability, tilting a tight Texas Derby narrowly to the hosts.

MiniMax M3

Houston sit top of the Western Conference and have home advantage in the Texas Derby, while FC Dallas have a dangerous attack led by Petar Musa (13 goals) and a solid 7W-3D-5L away record. Houston's recent late collapse vs San Diego (3-2 lead squandered) hints at defensive fragility that Dallas can exploit, but Houston's overall form and home field edge them ahead in a likely tight, derby-style contest.

Mistral Large 3

Both teams are closely matched in the standings and recent form, with Houston showing resilience in comebacks and Dallas aiming to secure playoff seeding. The Texas Derby's competitive nature and tactical parity make a draw highly probable, though either side could edge it.

Kimi K3

Houston leads the Western Conference and hosts the Texas Derby, giving them the edge, but their recent defensive fragility (blowing a 3-2 lead vs San Diego midweek) and Dallas's potent attack led by 13-goal Musa plus a strong away record keep this rivalry match genuinely competitive with real draw risk.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Houston Dynamo have won five of their last six home matches and sit top of the Western Conference, while FC Dallas boast an excellent away scoring record (1.86 goals/game) but are missing key attackers Geovane Jesus and Bernard Kamungo. The Texas Derby context and both teams' defensive vulnerabilities suggest a high-scoring home win.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Houston’s stronger results and home advantage give them a narrow edge, but Dallas have the better goal difference and a strong away record. With the sides closely matched, a competitive draw is the likeliest exact scoreline.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Houston leads the West and is strong at home with the league's best defensive record (24 GA in 19), but FC Dallas boasts a formidable 7-3-5 away record averaging 1.86 goals on the road and has Petar Musa (13 goals) leading a potent attack. In a tightly contested Texas Derby with playoff seeding implications, Houston's defensive solidity at home is offset by Dallas's proven away form, making a narrow draw the most likely single outcome.

Grok 4.5

Houston lead the West with a superior win rate and home edge in the Texas Derby, while Dallas remain solid but sit mid-table; both attack well enough for a narrow home win as the modal outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Houston Dynamo sit top of the Western Conference and have home advantage in the Texas Derby, though their recent tendency to drop points (conceding late against San Diego) and FC Dallas's strong away record (7-3-5 on the road, 1.86 goals per away match) keep this competitive. Houston's superior overall record and defensive solidity (24 GA vs Dallas's 25 GA in fewer games) give them the edge in a tight derby contest.

GLM-5.2

Houston sit top of the West with 11 wins from 19 and hold home advantage in this Texas Derby, while FC Dallas (7th, 27 pts) have a solid attack (32 GF) but an 8-point gap to close. Houston's low draw rate (2 in 19) suggests they tend to find winners, favoring a narrow home victory in a competitive derby.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeHouston Dynamo
2.33
DrawLevel at 90′
3.51
AwayFC Dallas
3.07