FC Dallas
San Jose Earthquakes| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H39%D26%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H40%D31%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H44%D27%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H38%D34%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H40%D27%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H36%D29%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H33%D28%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H35%D28%A37% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H40%D29%A31% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Two closely matched playoff-chasing sides with productive attacks and middling defences; Dallas's home edge at Toyota Stadium just tips a game that profiles as high-scoring and tight, with a real chance of the draw that has defined this head-to-head.
Dallas have home advantage and Musa available, while San Jose are missing suspended top scorer Preston Judd and several attacking pieces; San Jose's compact 5-3-2 and draw-heavy recent form point to a tight, low-scoring game with 1-1 the likeliest scoreline.
FC Dallas hold home advantage at Toyota Stadium and feature in-form striker Petar Musa, giving them a slight edge in what promises to be an evenly matched Western Conference playoff positioning battle against a high-scoring San Jose side.
San Jose has superior PPG (1.74 vs 1.50) and attack (38 GF vs 32) but Dallas at Toyota Stadium offsets that with home advantage and Musa (13 goals) vs Judd (11); H2H is extremely draw-heavy (16 draws in 37) and preview expects 1-1.
Both sides are strong defensive units (Dallas 25 GA in 18, San Jose 27 in 19) with comparable attacking output built around Musa's 13 goals and Judd's hot streak, and San Jose's recent3-2 loss to Dallas at PayPal Park plus a lengthy injury list (Kikanovic, Tsakiris, Gonzalez, DeJuan Jones, Adimabua) offsets their superior season record, while Dallas' home edge at Toyota Stadium keeps this a coin-flip between a narrow Dallas win and a cagey draw.
Both teams are closely matched in form and standings, with a historical head-to-head record favoring draws. The tactical setup and high stakes for playoff positioning suggest a cagey, balanced encounter where neither side will dominate outright.
San Jose (33 pts, +11 GD) is the stronger side on paper with a potent attack led by Judd, but Dallas at Toyota Stadium gets the usual MLS home edge and boasts Musa (13 goals) against a Quakes defense that concedes regularly; with both clubs already playoff-bound and jostling for seeding in a historically draw-heavy matchup, I expect a tight, competitive game with a slight lean to the hosts.
San Jose holds a 6-point table advantage and superior goal difference, but Dallas at Toyota Stadium with playoff positioning at stake levels the contest; the rivalry's 16 draws in 37 meetings and a preview projecting 1-1 support a tight, low-scoring stalemate.
San Jose have the stronger win rate and attack, but Dallas are defensively solid and benefit from home field. The matchup looks closely balanced, with a draw the likeliest individual scoreline.
San Jose enters as the stronger side (4th in the West, +11 GD, 33 pts) but FC Dallas is solid at home with a strong draw tendency (6 draws in 18 games) and a potent attack led by Musa's 13 goals. The historical H2H features an unusually high draw rate (16 draws in 37 meetings), and with both teams fighting for playoff positioning, a tight, cagey affair ending level is the most likely single outcome.
San Jose's superior record and potent attack (38 goals, 10 wins) give them a slight edge, but Dallas are strong at Toyota Stadium (solid defensive record, +7 GD) and this rivalry has produced 16 draws in 37 meetings — pointing to a tight, low-margin contest. Expect an even, cagey playoff-positioning battle with 1-1 the most likely single scoreline.
FC Dallas holds home advantage and has Musa in elite scoring form, while San Jose is missing several key attackers including top scorer Judd. However, San Jose's excellent road record (7-3-5) and 9-game unbeaten streak with a solid back 3 keeps them competitive and makes a draw quite plausible.
FC DallasSan Jose Earthquakes