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FC Cincinnati vs DC United — predictions and result

FC Cincinnati
90-minute result2–1
DC United
Regular Season - 23TQL Stadium

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H50%D25%A25%
CorrectExact
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H53%D27%A20%
CorrectExact
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H54%D24%A22%
CorrectExact
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H46%D28%A26%
CorrectExact
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H45%D31%A24%
CorrectExact
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H50%D28%A22%
CorrectExact
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H48%D25%A27%
CorrectExact
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H45%D30%A25%
CorrectExact
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H47%D27%A26%
CorrectExact
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H42%D30%A28%
CorrectExact
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H47%D29%A24%
CorrectExact
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H48%D27%A25%
CorrectExact
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H48%D28%A24%
CorrectExact

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Cincinnati are far more potent at home with Denkey and Evander driving one of the league's highest-scoring attacks, though their leaky defense (45 conceded) keeps DC live. DC United's profile is draw-heavy (nine in 19) and they travel with a modest but stubborn setup, so a tight home win is the most likely outcome with a real chance of a share of points.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

FC Cincinnati's high-powered home attack and DC United's lack of firepower—with top scorer Tai Baribo doubtful—give the hosts a clear edge, while DC's draw-heavy, low-block style makes a stalemate the main alternative.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Cincinnati's prolific attack powered by Denkey and Evander gives them the offensive edge at home against a resilient, draw-heavy DC United squad.

Muse Spark 1.2

Cincinnati's high-powered attack (46 GF, Denkey 11 goals/Evander 8 assists) gives home edge, but league-worst defensive leak among top-half sides (45 GA) meets DC's draw-heavy (9 draws in 19) resilience, making a narrow home win most likely in a high-event game.

MiniMax M3

FC Cincinnati rank higher (6th, 27 pts) and boast the joint-top assist man Evander plus 11-goal Denkey, but their leaky defense (45 GA in 19) keeps this competitive; DC United are notably draw-prone (9 of 19) and difficult to beat, justifying an elevated draw probability, with Cincinnati's home advantage tipping the likely result.

Mistral Large 3

FC Cincinnati are in stronger form, boast a significantly better goal difference, and have key attacking threats like Denkey and Evander. Their home advantage and recent goal-scoring form further tilt the balance in their favor, though DC United's resilience and recent competitive matches suggest a closely contested game.

Kimi K3

Cincinnati's attack is one of the league's most productive (46 goals, with Denkey scoring and Evander creating) and they host a DC United side that sits below them with a weaker attack, but Cincinnati's porous defense (45 conceded) and DC's draw-heavy profile (9 draws in 19) keep this from being a comfortable home call.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

FC Cincinnati's superior attack (46 goals, Denkey 11 goals, Evander 8 assists) and home advantage outweigh DC United's resilient defense (30 GA, 9 draws), though DC's draw propensity keeps the tie plausible.

GPT-5.6 Sol

FC Cincinnati’s potent attack and home advantage give them the edge, with Denkey and Evander providing consistent production. However, Cincinnati’s defensive record and DC United’s league-high draw tendency make this a relatively close contest.

Qwen3.7 Plus

FC Cincinnati's league-leading attack (46 goals, tied for most in the East) gives them a clear home advantage, but DC United's extraordinary draw rate (9 in 19 matches) and relatively tight defensive record (30 GA) keep the contest highly competitive and make a stalemate a strong secondary outcome.

Grok 4.5

Cincinnati's potent attack led by Evander and Denkey should overcome DC's low-scoring output at home despite Cincy's leaky defense and recent 4-0 loss, while DC's draw-heavy season and possible Baribo absence limit their threat.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

FC Cincinnati's potent attack (46 GF, led by Evander's league-best 8 assists and Denkey's 11 goals) gives them a clear edge at home, but DC United's extraordinary draw rate (9 in 19 matches, ~47%) and compact defensive record (1.58 GA/game) make a level outcome the next most likely scenario rather than an away win.

GLM-5.2

FC Cincinnati's potent attack (46 goals in 19 games, led by Denkey and Evander) gives them the edge at home, but their leaky defense (45 conceded) and DC United's remarkably high draw rate (9 draws in 19 matches) keep this competitive and elevate the draw probability.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeFC Cincinnati
1.56
DrawLevel at 90′
4.72
AwayDC United
5.26