Claude Opus 5
Cincinnati's home advantage and potent attack (Evander-Denkey) edge it, but their leaky defence (45 goals conceded) and Charlotte's strong recent run under Dean Smith keep this close and open.
MLSFull time
FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte — predictions and result
FC Cincinnati90-minute result3–3
CharlotteRegular Season - 25TQL Stadium
Predictions
13 published| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H42%D26%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H31%D29%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H44%D27%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H41%D26%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H36%D30%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H42%D26%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H36%D28%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–2 | H38%D26%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H30%D27%A43% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H42%D26%A32% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Charlotte enter in better form and FC Cincinnati are without suspended Evander and Nwobodo, giving the visitors the edge, but Cincinnati's strong home record and Charlotte's own absences make a tight, low-scoring game likely.
Gemini 3.7 Flash
FC Cincinnati boast one of the league's most potent attacks led by Kevin Denkey and Evander, giving them the edge at home despite Charlotte's solid recent form.
Muse Spark 1.2
Cincinnati's elite attack (46 GF, fresh off 6-1 over Inter Miami) and a full week rest at TQL gives a narrow home edge over Charlotte's strong 5W-3D-1L run since the break, but Charlotte's tighter defence (28 GA vs 45 GA) and midweek win suggests a close, goals-heavy game.
MiniMax M3
Cincinnati arrive off a 6-1 demolition of Inter Miami but are playing their third match in eight days and took a midweek loss in Mexico, while Charlotte are in their best stretch of the season (5W-3D-1L post-World Cup break). Cincinnati's home advantage and improving defense (per research notes) roughly offset Charlotte's superior recent form and fresher legs, with a low-scoring draw the modal outcome given Cincinnati's fatigue and Charlotte's tightened defensive structure.
Mistral Large 3
FC Cincinnati are defensively solid and riding a strong run of form, but Charlotte's recent attacking prowess and speed in transition pose a significant threat. The draw probability reflects the competitive nature of this fixture, though Cincinnati's home advantage and consistency tilt the scales slightly in their favor.
Kimi K3
Cincinnati's attack is elite (46 goals, Evander and Denkey in form) and they have home field plus a full week to prepare, while Charlotte — though in strong form (5W-3D-1L since the break) — plays on three days' rest after Wednesday's match and travels. Cincinnati's porous defense (45 conceded) keeps Charlotte live, making a narrow, higher-scoring home win the modal outcome with the draw a genuine threat.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Cincinnati arrive on a high after a 6-1 thrashing of Inter Miami and have had a full week to prepare, but their defense has conceded 45 goals in 19 games; Charlotte are in excellent form (5W-3D-1L since the World Cup break) with a superior defensive record and an attack featuring Zaha, Toklomati and Vargas, making a high-scoring home win the narrowest single most likely outcome.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Cincinnati’s prolific attack and home advantage are offset by a defense conceding well over two goals per match. Charlotte have the stronger defensive record and arrive in excellent recent form, making a high-scoring draw the likeliest exact scoreline.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Charlotte arrives in outstanding form (5W-3D-1L since the World Cup break) with a solid defensive record (28 GA), but Cincinnati's potent attack (46 GF, fresh off a 6-1 demolition of Inter Miami) and home advantage at TQL give them a marginal edge in what projects as a tightly contested match between near-equal points rivals.
Grok 4.5
Cincinnati's high-scoring attack (46 GF) and home edge give them a slight edge over closely matched Charlotte (5th, solid defense), though both sides' mid-table form and MLS draw rate point to a tight contest most likely decided by one goal.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
FC Cincinnati are in freefall—0-9 across their last two matches, winless in three, with Evander muted and Nwobodo likely suspended after his red card—while Charlotte have taken 14 of the last 18 points available and lost just once in eleven league games, making the form gap decisive despite Cincinnati's home advantage at TQL Stadium.
GLM-5.2
Cincinnati boast the league's most prolific attack (46 goals) and just thrashed Inter Miami 6-1, but their defense is extremely leaky (45 conceded) and Charlotte arrive in strong form (5W-3D-1L since the World Cup break) with a more balanced profile, making this a close contest that could easily end level.
Recorded pre-match odds
- HomeFC Cincinnati
- 2.09
- DrawLevel at 90′
- 4.26
- AwayCharlotte
- 3.06