DC United
New York Red Bulls| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H41%D28%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H38%D34%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H42%D30%A28% | Correct | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H39%D28%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H36%D34%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H38%D34%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H42%D29%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H30%D38%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H42%D29%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H33%D34%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H30%D33%A37% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H30%D33%A37% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
DC United are hard to beat at home but struggle to convert dominance into wins (nine draws in 19), while the Red Bulls carry a dangerous attack behind a very leaky defence (41 conceded). A tight, low-scoring Atlantic Cup meeting with a high draw likelihood and a slight home edge.
DC United's home advantage and stronger goal difference give them a slight edge over a leaky Red Bulls defence, but their nine draws and a low-scoring profile make a stalemate a major risk; 1-1 looks the most likely scoreline.
DC United have been difficult to beat with nine draws this season, and their defensive solidity gives them the upper hand at Audi Field against a New York Red Bulls side that has conceded 41 goals in 19 matches.
DC's home advantage and better defensive record (30 GA vs 41 GA) gives a narrow edge despite an eight-match winless run and depleted attack, while NYRB's leaky defence is offset by being the form side; DC's league-high 9 draws in 19 points to a low-scoring, draw-heavy contest.
DC United have an unusually high draw rate this season (9 draws in 19 matches, ~47%) and sit just one point behind the Red Bulls in the Eastern Conference, suggesting a tight contest. Both teams have similar attacking output (DC 27 GF, NYRB 30 GF) but DC has the stronger defense (30 GA vs 41 GA), giving them a slim home-edge, though the sheer volume of DC draws keeps the draw probability elevated.
DC United's recent struggles (winless in eight) and defensive solidity at home are countered by New York Red Bulls' form and tactical ability to exploit DC's man-marking system, making a low-scoring draw the most likely outcome despite DC's narrow home advantage.
DC United are the league's draw specialists (9 in 19) with a solid defense, while the Red Bulls are more volatile with a leaky back line (41 conceded) — home advantage and Baribo's finishing tilt DC slightly, but a tight, low-scoring contest makes the draw a major factor.
DC United's high draw rate (9 in 19) and depleted attack meet a Red Bulls side that just lost 2-0 and has a -11 goal difference; both teams struggle for goals, making a low-scoring draw the most probable outcome.
DC United's home advantage and New York's leaky defense give the hosts a narrow edge. DC's high draw rate and limited attacking output point to a tight, low-scoring match.
DC United's extraordinary draw rate (9 in 19 matches, 47%) combined with their home advantage and low-scoring tendencies (just 27 GF, recent 0-0 vs Nashville) makes a stalemate the most likely single outcome. New York Red Bulls' poor away defensive record (41 GA) and DC's depleted attack cancel out, pointing to a tight, low-scoring affair.
DC United's high draw rate (9 in 19) and home edge give them a slight edge over the leaky Red Bulls (GA 41), but both sides sit mid-table with modest attacks, making a low-scoring stalemate the single most probable outcome.
DC United have an extraordinary 9 draws in 19 games this season and are winless in recent MLS outings (scored just once in their last three league matches), while NY Red Bulls are in strong form with 3 wins in their last 4 MLS games and historically dominate this H2H (23-11-14); however, DC's deep draw tendency at home makes a stalemate the single most likely outcome, with NYRB's poor defensive record (41 GA) and DC's toothless recent attack combining for a low-scoring affair.
NY Red Bulls arrive in strong form (3-1-1 in their last five MLS matches) and boast a 4-0-1 record at Audi Field, while DC United are struggling (1-2-2 recently, including a 4-0 loss at Inter Miami) with a depleted attack missing Munteanu. However, DC's league-high 47% draw rate and the Red Bulls' leaky defense (41 GA in 19) keep the draw firmly in play.
DC UnitedNew York Red Bulls