Claude Opus 4.8
New England sits higher with a better record and edges DC United, who draw frequently (9 draws) and lack cutting edge; home advantage at Audi Field keeps it close, so a tight, low-scoring match is likely.
DC United
New England Revolution| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H33%D28%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H32%D38%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H37%D33%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H39%D29%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 2–1 | H33%D35%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H37%D27%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H28%D34%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H32%D29%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H28%D28%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H28%D33%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H31%D37%A32% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
New England sits higher with a better record and edges DC United, who draw frequently (9 draws) and lack cutting edge; home advantage at Audi Field keeps it close, so a tight, low-scoring match is likely.
New England have the better record and superior goal difference, while DC United's nine draws in 19 games and modest attack point to another tight, low-scoring night at Audi Field; home advantage narrows the gap but the Revs remain slight favourites.
D.C. United have drawn four of their last five and are 3-3-3 at home, while New England are missing key attackers Langoni and Campana and have struggled since the World Cup break, making a low-scoring stalemate most likely.
DC United has drawn nearly half of their matches this season and face a New England side that sits higher in the standings but has been inconsistent. With DC's home advantage balancing out the Revolution's superior league position, a tightly contested draw is the most likely outcome.
D.C. United has been extremely draw-prone this season with 9 draws from 19 matches, while 3rd-placed New England Revolution boasts a superior overall record. Home advantage balances out the quality gap, pointing toward a tightly contested draw.
D.C. United have been the draw specialists of the Eastern Conference with nine stalemates in 19 matches, making another tight contest likely against a third-placed New England Revolution side looking to secure points on the road.
DC United has a higher number of draws (9) and a slightly better defensive record than New England, but both teams are mid-table with inconsistent form. Given the high draw rate for DC and New England's struggle for consistency, a low-scoring draw is a highly probable outcome.
New England is stronger on points (30 vs 24) and defence (+4 GD vs -3) but DC's home advantage offsets much of that gap; DC's 9 draws in 19 games and both teams averaging ~1.4-1.5 goals suggests a balanced, low-scoring game where 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline.
DC United's season has been unusually draw-heavy (9 of 19 results level), and at home against a stronger New England side, another stalemate is the single most plausible outcome, though DC's home edge and New England's slightly better overall form keep this finely balanced. A 1-1 scoreline captures both teams' tendency toward tight, low-margin results.
Both teams are struggling for consistency, with DC United’s high-pressing approach often leaving them vulnerable defensively and New England’s recent form suggesting a lack of cutting edge. The draw is a genuine possibility given their recent trends and tactical setups.
DC United have drawn six of their last eight matches and nine of nineteen overall, while a struggling New England side missing Andrew Farrell and Leonardo Campana has historically found Audi Field difficult, making a stalemate the likeliest result but leaving DC's home edge as the best decisive guess.
These sides are closely matched in per-game goal terms (DC 27/30, NE 29/25), so DC's home advantage at Audi Field roughly cancels out New England's edge in the table. DC's league-high nine draws in 19 matches signals a low-variance, tight-match profile, making 1-1 the single most likely scoreline with the draw getting an honest bump.
New England Revolution sit 3rd in the East with a superior goal difference and defensive record, but DC United's extreme draw propensity (9 draws in 19 matches) and home advantage at Audi Field elevate the draw probability above typical levels.
New England have shown greater overall strength and a better defensive record, but DC United's home advantage and league-high draw tendency make this a close matchup. A 1-1 draw is the likeliest exact scoreline, with the Revolution slightly more likely to win overall.
New England sits 3rd in the East with a superior defense (1.32 GA/game) and is the stronger side overall, but DC United's extraordinary draw rate (9 draws in 19 matches) and home-field advantage at Audi Field keep this tightly contested. Both teams have modest attacking outputs, pointing toward a low-scoring affair where a draw is highly plausible.
New England sit clearly higher with a stronger attack-defence balance and fewer draws, giving them a slight edge even away, but DC's extreme draw rate (9 in 19) and home venue make a stalemate the single most probable scoreline in a tight, low-event Eastern Conference match.
DC United have drawn 9 of 19 matches this season (47%), the highest draw rate in the East, making a stalemate the single most likely outcome despite New England's superior overall quality (3rd vs 9th). New England's +4 GD and 30 points give them the edge in a decisive result, but DC's stubbornness in avoiding defeats at home tilts this toward a 1-1 draw.
DC United's extraordinary draw rate (9 in 19 matches) combined with home advantage makes a stalemate the most likely single outcome against a New England side that is superior in the standings but has shown vulnerability on the road. Both teams score and concede at modest rates, pointing to a tight, low-scoring affair.