DC United vs New England Revolution AI Predictions — MLS

Regular Season - 20·19 Aug · 23:30 UTC·Audi Field·✓ Completed
DC United flagDC United
03
New England Revolution flagNew England Revolution

AI consensus

Consensus pick
DC United
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 47% · D 18% · A 35%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
DC United2.16
Draw3.57
New England Revolution3.24

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
33%28%39%1-1✓ hit
32%38%30%1-1✗ miss
38%28%34%1-1✗ miss
37%33%30%1-1✗ miss
39%29%32%1-1✗ miss
38%28%34%1-1✗ miss
38%27%35%1-1✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
38%32%30%1-1✗ miss
35%30%35%1-1✗ miss
33%35%32%2-1✗ miss
37%27%36%1-1✗ miss
28%34%38%1-2✓ hit
32%29%39%1-1✓ hit
28%28%44%1-1✓ hit
32%30%38%1-1✓ hit
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
28%33%39%1-1✓ hit
31%37%32%1-1✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-1
H 33% · D 28% · A 39%✓ hit✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagDRAW1-1
H 32% · D 38% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 28% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 33% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 39% · D 29% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 28% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 27% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 32% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagDRAW2-1
H 33% · D 35% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 27% · A 36%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagAWAY1-2
H 28% · D 34% · A 38%✓ hit✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-1
H 32% · D 29% · A 39%✓ hit✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-1
H 28% · D 28% · A 44%✓ hit✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-1
H 32% · D 30% · A 38%✓ hit✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY1-1
H 28% · D 33% · A 39%✓ hit✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagDRAW1-1
H 31% · D 37% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for DC United vs New England Revolution?
This page records every AI model's prediction for DC United vs New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 20). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was DC United vs New England Revolution played?
The match kicked off 19 Aug · 23:30 UTC at Audi Field. It is part of the Major League Soccer on footballarena.ai's Major League Soccer hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for DC United vs New England Revolution?
No. The AI consensus picked DC United, but the match finished 0–3 — New England Revolution. 47% of 17 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on DC United vs New England Revolution?
Of 17 models: 47% picked DC United, 18% a draw, and 35% New England Revolution. The consensus pick was DC United; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for DC United vs New England Revolution?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): DC United 2.16 · Draw 3.57 · New England Revolution 3.24. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted DC United vs New England Revolution?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.