DC United
Los Angeles FC| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H29%D27%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H28%D33%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H29%D28%A43% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–2 | H22%D25%A53% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H27%D27%A46% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H28%D32%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H27%D30%A43% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H27%D28%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H26%D31%A43% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H29%D33%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H22%D33%A45% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
LAFC are the stronger side with the league's meanest defence (20 goals against) and Son's creativity, but a cross-country trip to a DC United team that has drawn nine of nineteen matches and rarely loses heavily at home narrows the gap. A low-scoring, tight game is likely, with the draw close behind an LAFC win.
DC United's league-high draw rate and LAFC's strong but low-scoring away form point to a tight game, though LAFC's superior overall quality and DC's poor recent results give the visitors a slight edge.
Los Angeles FC boast one of the league's strongest defensive records and creative attacks, giving them an edge despite the cross-country travel against a resilient, draw-prone DC United side.
LAFC is significantly stronger in the standings (3rd West vs 9th East) and possesses superior offensive firepower with Son Heung-Min providing key creativity. DC United has a high draw rate and a negative goal difference, making them vulnerable to a high-quality LAFC side.
LAFC are the stronger side on form and have the league's stingiest defence (20 GA in 20) with Son's creativity, while DC United are draw-heavy (9 in 19) and hard to beat at home but lack cutting edge, making an away win narrowly most likely with a high draw chance.
LAFC is clearly the superior side (3rd in West, +15 GD) and deserved favorites, but DC United's remarkable 9 draws in 19 games (~47% draw rate) makes a stalemate their most likely single scoreline. Expect a tight, low-scoring contest given LAFC's strong defense (20 GA in 20) and DC's modest attack (27 GF in 19).
Los Angeles FC's superior form, attacking prowess (35 GF, 20 GA), and depth in squad (including key players like Son Heung-Min and Carlos Vela) give them an edge, despite playing away. DC United's defensive vulnerabilities (30 GA) and inconsistent form (5W, 9D, 5L) make them underdogs, though their home advantage and recent draw-heavy tendency (9 draws in 19 matches) suggest a competitive match.
LAFC are the stronger side (GD +15 vs -3) and have conceded more than one goal in none of their last eight MLS matches, so they rate as favorites even on a cross-country trip; however, DC United lead the league in draws (nine) and LAFC arrive winless in four with Son Heung-Min mired in a scoring drought, which keeps the draw very live against a DC side that has also lost its last two by a combined 6-1.
LAFC's significantly better goal difference (+15 vs -3), defensive record (1.0 GA/game vs 1.58), and higher league position outweigh DC United's home advantage; DC United's high draw rate (47%) keeps the draw probability elevated.
LAFC’s stronger goal difference and much tighter defense give them the edge, though DC United’s league-high draw tendency and home advantage keep a stalemate plausible.
LAFC are the stronger side with a superior defensive record (1.0 GA/game) and Son Heung-Min's creative output (8 assists), but DC United's remarkable draw rate (9 in 19 games) and home advantage keep this competitive. LAFC's quality should edge it, though DC's tendency to share points and modest scoring output make a low-scoring affair likely.
LAFC sit much higher with a superior defense that has conceded at most one goal in eight straight MLS games, yet both sides are in poor attacking form (LAFC winless and low-scoring in last four; DC coming off two heavy losses and missing top scorer Baribo). DC's season-long draw tendency plus home venue supports a tight low-scoring stalemate as the modal outcome.
DC United leads MLS with 9 draws in 19 matches and LAFC's road record is a modest 3W-4L-3D, making a stalemate the single likeliest outcome despite LAFC's superior quality. LAFC's elite recent defensive form (≤1 goal conceded in 8 straight MLS matches) should limit DC, but the Black-and-Red's draw magnetism and home setting point to a tight, level contest.
Both sides are in poor form — DC United have won once in 10 and conceded 6 in their last two, while LAFC are winless in four and have scored just twice in that span. LAFC's elite defense (max 1 goal conceded in 8 straight) and overall quality edge favor them, but DC's league-high draw tendency and home advantage at Audi Field make a stalemate the single most likely scoreline.
