DC United
Columbus Crew| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 0–1 | H27%D28%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H34%D36%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H39%D33%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H35%D29%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H28%D38%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H28%D34%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H39%D29%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H30%D38%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H31%D37%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H34%D33%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H33%D37%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H37%D35%A28% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Columbus arrive in far better shape — around 1.65 goals per game and four wins in five before their Nashville setback — while DC United are winless in five and have managed just two goals across that run, so the Crew should edge a low-scoring game. DC's draw-heavy profile at Audi Field and Columbus's own defensive fragility keep a stalemate very much alive.
DC United's nine draws in 19 games, five-match winless run and blunt recent attack make them hard to trust despite home advantage, while Columbus Crew carry a similarly modest profile. A low-scoring, tight contest is most likely.
DC United have drawn nine of their 19 league fixtures this season and enter this match in low-scoring form, while Columbus Crew have struggled on the road with nine defeats overall.
DC United's 9 draws in 19 and winless-in-five run with just 2 goals in last 5 (blanked in 45% of games) meets a Columbus side that scores but concedes heavily, making a tight low-scoring game at Audi Field essentially a coin-flip with draw highly plausible.
DC United is winless in five and has fired blanks in nearly half their games this season (45%), but their nine draws in 19 matches show they're hard to beat at home. Columbus had won four of five before losing to Nashville, giving them a slight edge in current form, but their away fragility and DC's home resilience on a tight conference matchup tilt this toward a low-scoring stalemate.
Both teams have struggled recently, with DC United winless in five and Columbus Crew showing defensive vulnerabilities despite their attacking prowess. The draw is the single most likely outcome given their recent form, defensive issues, and the tendency for low-scoring, tightly contested matches between these sides.
DC United hold a slight edge at home and sit four points above Columbus, but their extreme draw tendency (9 in 19) and reported scoring drought (winless in five, blanks in roughly half their games) cap their win probability. Columbus are defensively fragile (31 conceded) yet comparable in attack, so a tight, low-scoring contest with 1-1 the likeliest scoreline.
DC United are winless in five and have scored just twice in that span, while Columbus sit 11th with a -4 goal difference; both sides average only 1.4 goals per game and DC's 47% draw rate points to a tight, low-scoring stalemate.
DC United have been highly draw-prone and hold a modest home advantage, but their five-match winless run and recent scoring struggles limit confidence in a victory. Columbus have also struggled overall, making a low-scoring draw the likeliest scoreline.
DC United's extraordinary draw rate (9 in 19 games) and both teams' anemic attacking output (27 goals each) strongly point to a tight, low-scoring stalemate, compounded by DC's five-game winless run and Columbus's defensive vulnerabilities on the road.
DC United's extreme draw tendency (10 already) and winless run meet Columbus's dreadful away record (1 win all season) and key forward injuries, making a low-event stalemate the clearest single outcome despite both sides' leaky defenses.
DC United's extraordinary draw rate (9 in 19 games, 47%) and current five-match winless run combined with chronic scoring struggles (2 goals in last 5) make a low-scoring stalemate the single most likely outcome; Columbus Crew are similarly mediocre on the road with a near-identical goals-scored rate (1.42 per game) and poor defensive record (1.63 conceded per game), pointing to a tight, even contest.
DC United's extraordinary draw rate (9 in 19 matches) and home advantage make them slight favorites, but their anemic attack (just 2 goals in their last 5 per research notes) limits their ceiling against a Columbus side that, while leaky defensively, has enough attacking quality to find a goal. The high draw probability reflects DC's tendency to grind out stalemates.
DC UnitedColumbus Crew