DC United
Charlotte| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H29%D30%A41% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H36%D30%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Correct | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H32%D35%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H32%D29%A39% | Correct | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H28%D30%A42% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H31%D29%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H27%D31%A42% | Correct | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H28%D30%A42% | Correct | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H23%D32%A45% | Correct | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H26%D34%A40% | Correct | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Charlotte are the marginally stronger side on points and goal difference, but DC United at home are extremely draw-prone (nine stalemates in nineteen games) and both teams have modest attacking output, making a tight low-scoring game likely.
Charlotte are the stronger, in-form side and won the reverse fixture 3-1, but DC United are draw-heavy at home and should keep it tight. Charlotte are a narrow lean, with 1-1 the most likely single scoreline.
DC United have been draw specialists throughout the season with nine ties in 19 games, while Charlotte's balanced attacking threat should be enough to earn a point on the road.
Charlotte arrive unbeaten in five and already beat DC 3-1 this season with Pep Biel (10g 4a) leading a more productive attack, while DC United are draw-heavy (9 draws in 19) and inconsistent despite home advantage, making a narrow away win most likely in a game both teams can score in.
DC United has drawn 9 of 19 matches this season (47%) — an extraordinary rate that reflects their conservative, draw-prone identity — while Charlotte is the marginally better side on points (28 vs 24) and unbeaten in their last five MLS outings. The combination of DC's home fortress-tendency to settle for a point and Charlotte's solid but unspectacular road form makes a stalemate the single most likely outcome, with 1-1 capturing the expected low-scoring, tightly contested nature.
Charlotte sit higher in the East with the better goal difference and have won the recent head-to-heads (2-1 and 3-1), with Pep Biel a recurring match-winner in this fixture. DC United's home edge keeps them competitive, but their league-high draw rate (9 in 19) and inconsistent form make a draw very live and a narrow Charlotte win the modal outcome.
Charlotte FC enters on a five-match unbeaten run and sits four points above D.C. United in the Eastern Conference, having won the previous meeting 3-1; however, United's high draw rate (9 in 19) and home advantage keep the draw probability substantial.
Charlotte have the stronger overall record and attack, but DC United’s nine draws in 19 matches and home advantage make a close contest likely. Charlotte are the likelier winner, though 1-1 is the most plausible individual scoreline.
Charlotte has won both meetings this season (3-1 and 2-1), is unbeaten in five, and boasts dangerous attackers in Pep Biel (10G) and Thai Baribo (7G in last 10). However, DC United is extraordinarily draw-prone (9 draws in 19 games) and at home, so the draw probability is elevated above typical levels despite Charlotte's clear edge in quality and form.
Charlotte sit higher with a superior record and attack while DC United's extreme draw rate (9 in 19) and mid-table form make them hard to beat at home but limited going forward; prior H2H favors Charlotte and their recent resilience edges a narrow away win.
Charlotte are clearly the better side (4th vs 11th), unbeaten in five MLS matches, and have dominated this head-to-head including a 3-1 win in August. DC United's extraordinary draw rate (11 in 24 games) keeps the draw probability elevated, but Charlotte's attacking quality led by Pep Biel should be enough to edge it at Audi Field.
Charlotte sit four points clear in the standings, are unbeaten in their last five, and have won both prior meetings this season, making them the likelier winner. However, DC United's extraordinary draw rate (9 in 19 matches) and home advantage keep the draw as a very live outcome.
DC UnitedCharlotte