DC United
Atlanta United FC| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H46%D28%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–0 | H46%D30%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H50%D27%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H48%D27%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H55%D25%A20% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H50%D27%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H49%D27%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H38%D33%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–0 | H44%D30%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H42%D31%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H48%D29%A23% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
D.C. United are modest but solid at home and face an Atlanta side that has lost more than half its matches and scores sparingly, though the Five Stripes' away trips have produced some open games. D.C.'s extreme draw tendency (nine in 19) and low goal output make a tight 1-1 the single most likely scoreline even if a narrow home win is the most probable result.
DC United are clearly stronger in the Eastern Conference standings and have home advantage, while Atlanta United sit last with the league's weak attack. DC's high draw rate keeps the draw probability elevated, but a narrow home win is the most likely outcome.
DC United have been resilient with only five losses all season, while bottom-of-the-table Atlanta United have struggled heavily with 12 defeats in 19 matches.
DC United's home advantage and Atlanta's league-worst attack (21 goals) and poor defense tilt toward a narrow home win, but DC's extreme draw tendency (9 draws in 19) keeps a low-scoring stalemate highly plausible.
DC United are clearly the stronger side at home (mid-table, 24 pts, 9 draws showing they grind out results) against an Atlanta side sitting dead last in the East with only 15 points, a -13 goal difference, and just 4 wins in 19 games; home advantage plus Atlanta's porous defence (34 GA) tilts this firmly to DC, though DC's modest attack (1.42 GF/game) keeps the margin narrow and the draw probability meaningful given DC's nine league draws.
Both teams are struggling near the bottom of the Eastern Conference, with DC United showing slight defensive frailty and Atlanta United lacking consistency. The draw is a genuine possibility given their recent form and similar league positions, though Atlanta's attacking threats like Latte Lath and Almiron could edge a narrow win.
DC United (24 pts, +9 goal edge over Atlanta) hosts an Atlanta side that sits bottom of the East with 12 losses and 34 goals conceded, making the home side clear favorites; however, DC's league-high draw tendency (9 draws in 19) keeps the draw probability elevated. A modest 2-1 home win fits both teams' scoring rates.
DC United at home with Thai Baribo in strong form (7 goals in last 10 games) faces an Atlanta side missing three players and conceding 43 goals; last meeting ended 0-0 but DC's attack has improved.
DC United have been substantially more reliable than Atlanta and benefit from home advantage, while Atlanta's poor defensive record raises the hosts' win probability. However, DC's league-high draw frequency and modest scoring output make 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline.
DC United's extraordinary draw rate (9 in 19 games, 47%) combined with both teams' modest attacking output (DC 1.42 gpg, Atlanta 1.10 gpg) points to a tight, low-scoring affair. DC has home advantage and faces the conference's worst side, but their inability to close out games and Atlanta's defensive struggles make a narrow draw the single most likely scoreline.
DC sit well clear of bottom-placed Atlanta on points and goal difference after 19 matches and are far less loss-prone, while Atlanta's anemic attack (21 GF) struggles to overturn home sides. DC's high draw count keeps the stalemate probability elevated, but a low-scoring home win remains the single most likely result.
DC United's historically high draw rate (10 in 23 matches) and poor home win record (3 of 11) make a stalemate likely against a struggling but desperate Atlanta side; both teams lack the quality to dominate, pointing to a low-scoring affair.
DC United sit 9th with 24 points and a league-high 9 draws in 19 matches, while Atlanta are bottom of the East with just 15 points and 12 losses, making DC the clear favorites at home. However, DC's extreme draw tendency (47% of matches) keeps the draw probability elevated against an Atlanta side that rarely ties but also rarely wins.
DC UnitedAtlanta United FC