Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H45%D26%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H45%D27%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H44%D27%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H42%D26%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H40%D32%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H41%D26%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H37%D29%A34% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Columbus have underperformed but are solid enough at Lower.com Field, while the Red Bulls' leaky defense (41 goals conceded, worst among East playoff-chasers) travels poorly. Both sides are mid-table and inconsistent, so the draw retains real value, but I lean to a narrow home win.
Columbus have home advantage and face a leaky New York Red Bulls defense, but the Crew's own modest attack and NYRB's stronger points total keep this tight, making 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline.
Columbus Crew hold home-field advantage against a New York Red Bulls side that has struggled defensively this season, conceding over two goals per match on average.
Columbus at Lower.com Field offsets NYRB's 5-point edge; Crew's tighter defence (31 GA vs 41 GA, -4 GD vs -11) and typical MLS home advantage make them narrow favourites in a match where both average ~1.5 goals scored.
Both sides are in the bottom half of the Eastern Conference with similar point tallies (Columbus 20, RBNY 25), and neither has shown consistency. Columbus holds a home advantage but their overall form is poor (5W-5D-9L), while the Red Bulls leak goals at an alarming rate (41 GA in 19 games). A tight, low-scoring draw feels like the modal outcome, with Columbus edging the win probability slightly via home venue.
Columbus Crew are marginally stronger at home and have a slight edge in recent form and head-to-head consistency, but New York Red Bulls are defensively resilient and capable of grinding out a draw, making a tightly contested match likely.
Columbus get home advantage and face a Red Bulls side whose 41 goals conceded (worst defensive record relative to their points haul) is highly exploitable, though RBNY's superior points total and attacking output keep them live. With both defenses among the leakier units in the East, an open game with a narrow home edge is most likely.
Columbus Crew's superior goal difference (-4 vs -11) and home advantage at Lower.com Field offset their lower points total; both sides concede heavily (Columbus 1.63, NYRB 2.16 GA/game), making a narrow home win with both teams scoring the most likely outcome.
Columbus have the benefit of home field and face a New York Red Bulls defense that has conceded 41 goals in 19 matches. Both teams have struggled for consistency, so the draw and away-win chances remain substantial.
Columbus Crew hold home advantage and a marginally better defensive record (31 GA vs NYRB's 41 GA), but both teams sit in the bottom half of the Eastern Conference with underwhelming attacking output. NYRB's leaky defense and Columbus's modest scoring rate point toward a tight, low-scoring affair where the home side has a slight edge but a draw remains highly plausible.
Columbus sit just behind the Red Bulls on points with a slightly better defensive record but both sides are inconsistent mid-table Eastern teams; home advantage edges Columbus while Red Bulls' leaky attack/defense balance and MLS draw frequency make a low-scoring stalemate the single most likely scoreline.
Columbus Crew are in dire form under interim manager Laurent Courtois, having lost five of their last six league matches and missing key attackers including season-ending ACL victim Wessam Abou Ali and departed top scorer Diego Rossi, while the Red Bulls won the previous meeting 3-2 and hold a meaningful points advantage (27 vs 23). Both sides are defensively suspect, but Columbus's depleted squad and poor momentum tip this toward an away result.
Both sides enter on short rest after Wednesday road losses and carry significant injury concerns, pointing toward a tight, low-scoring affair. Columbus has home advantage and has scored in six straight despite poor results, while the Red Bulls' leaky defense (41 GA in 19 games) and fresh injuries to key regulars balance the Crew's own attacking absences.
Columbus CrewNew York Red Bulls