Columbus Crew
New England Revolution| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H33%D26%A41% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H29%D28%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H37%D27%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H32%D26%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H27%D28%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H32%D26%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H34%D27%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H28%D26%A46% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H27%D26%A47% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H27%D26%A47% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H25%D28%A47% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Columbus are in a slump (three straight defeats plus a midweek Leagues Cup exit and only four days' rest) and have been leaky at both ends all season, while New England are the stronger side on points and have won the last two meetings. Home field keeps the Crew live, but the Revs' edge in form and quality makes a narrow away win the most likely outcome in a game where a draw is a very real possibility.
New England are stronger in the standings, have won the last two meetings with Columbus including in Ohio, and Columbus are in poor form with four straight losses and missing key striker Wessam Abou Ali; the Revs' modest recent away form and Columbus's home desperation keep a draw plausible.
Columbus Crew hold home-field advantage but enter on a three-match losing streak, while the 3rd-place Revolution have won their last two head-to-head meetings.
New England sit 10 points and +8 GD clear of Columbus (30pts vs 20pts) and have won the last two H2Hs including 2-1 at Columbus last season, while Columbus enter on a three-game MLS losing streak and just four days after a 2-0 League Cup elimination to Club América.
Columbus is in a deep slump (3-game MLS losing streak, eliminated from League Cup by América, only 4 days' rest) while New England sits comfortably 3rd in the East with a clear points gap and has won the last two head-to-heads. New England's superior form and attacking balance favor them on the road, but a 1-1 draw is the modal scoreline given Columbus's home advantage and defensive solidity from set pieces, making the draw only narrowly less likely than an away win.
Columbus Crew are on a three-game losing streak and struggling for form, while New England Revolution have a recent edge in head-to-head matchups, including two straight wins. Both teams are likely to prioritize attacking play, but defensive vulnerabilities and recent trends suggest a tightly contested draw is the most probable outcome.
New England (3rd, 30 pts) has beaten Columbus twice in a row and faces a Crew side mired in a three-game losing streak, coming off a Leagues Cup elimination to Club América on short rest. Home advantage and Columbus's underlying attacking numbers keep them competitive and the draw live, but form and H2H momentum favor the Revs.
Columbus are exhausted after 7 games in 3 weeks with only 4 days' rest post-Leagues Cup, missing key players Abou Ali (ACL), Farsi (hernia), Thiaré and others, and have just 4 home wins all season. New England sit 3rd in the East, have won the last two H2H meetings (both 2-1), and arrive with a superior goal difference (+4 vs -4) despite their own injury absences.
New England have the stronger defensive record and have won the last two meetings, while Columbus enter on a three-match league losing streak. Home advantage keeps the Crew competitive, but the Revolution are likelier to edge a close game.
New England sits 3rd in the East with a superior defense (25 GA) and has won the last two H2H meetings, while Columbus is mired in a three-game losing streak, sitting 11th with only four days' rest after continental elimination. The Revs' form and tactical edge over a struggling Crew side makes them clear favorites despite being on the road.
New England sit 3rd with a clear edge in quality and recent H2H (two straight wins including in Columbus), while the Crew are 11th, on a three-game skid and short-rested after cup exit; home advantage keeps Columbus competitive but the visitors are the most likely winners.
New England sit 3rd in the East with 30 points and have won the last two H2H meetings (both 2-1), while Columbus are 11th on a three-game MLS losing streak and reeling from a midweek Leagues Cup elimination with only a few days' rest and multiple injuries. Columbus have managed just 4 wins in 10 home matches this season, making the Revs clear favorites despite the road setting.
Columbus are mired in a three-game losing streak with only four days of rest after a League Cup exit, while New England sit 3rd in the East and have won both recent meetings against the Crew. The Revs' superior form and head-to-head edge outweigh Columbus's home advantage.
Columbus CrewNew England Revolution