Columbus Crew
Charlotte| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H37%D27%A36% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H35%D28%A37% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H44%D27%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H38%D26%A36% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H28%D28%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H32%D27%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H34%D27%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H28%D28%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H32%D27%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H32%D28%A40% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Charlotte are the stronger side on the season's numbers, but Columbus' possession-based setup under Nancy is much more effective at home and both teams have modest, similar scoring profiles. That makes this a near coin-flip with a high draw likelihood, so a tight 1-1 is the most representative scoreline.
Charlotte are the stronger side and in better recent form, but Columbus are at home and have improved, making this a tight contest with a draw the likeliest single scoreline.
Columbus Crew hold strong home advantage with Wilfried Nancy's possession-based style, giving them a slight edge over a solid Charlotte side.
Charlotte sit higher on 28pts vs Columbus 20pts with slightly better attack (32 vs 27 GF), but Columbus at home play a possession-oriented game under Nancy and H2H is balanced (3-2-3) with both sides winning 3 of last 6, making a tight low-scoring draw the single most likely exact score with home edge keeping win probabilities near level.
Charlotte sit5th with 28 points (8W-4D-7L) while Columbus are 12th with just 20 points (5W-5D-9L) and a negative goal difference; Charlotte also have a stronger attack (32 GF vs 27) and tighter defense (28 GA vs 31). Crew's conference record is poor (6W-11L-4D), and although they get a home boost, Charlotte's superior form and head-to-head edge (3W-2L-3D) make them the deserved favorites.
Charlotte are clearly the stronger side this season (top-five in the East vs Columbus in the bottom half, with the gap widening to 46 vs 29 points by the October previews) and hold a slight historical H2H edge, but Columbus's home advantage and organized possession game under Nancy keep them competitive and make the draw a live outcome.
Charlotte sits 8 points above Columbus with a superior goal difference and a favorable 3W-2L-3D head-to-head record; Columbus's poor 6-11-4 conference mark and lower scoring output make an away win the most likely outcome.
Charlotte have the stronger season profile and superior scoring record, but Columbus's home advantage and possession-oriented approach should keep the matchup competitive. The Crew's defensive record also makes a low-margin contest likely.
Charlotte enters as the stronger side on the season (28 pts vs. 20, +4 GD vs. -4) and holds a slight edge in H2H (3W-3D-2L), but Columbus's home advantage and possession-oriented system under Nancy keep this competitive. Both teams share identical recent form (3 wins in last 6), and the historically high draw rate in this fixture (3 of 8 H2H) supports a tight, low-scoring affair.
Charlotte sit well clear in the East with a superior goal difference and attack while Columbus have been leaky and low-scoring through 19 games; home possession style may keep it tight but the visitors' edge should produce a narrow away win.
Charlotte sit 5th (28 pts, +4 GD) versus 11th-placed Columbus (20 pts, -4 GD), reflecting a clear quality gap this season, though Columbus's home venue and balanced H2H (3W-2W-3D) keep them competitive. Charlotte's stronger attack (32 GF vs 27) and better defensive record should edge them to a narrow away win, with both sides showing similar recent form (3 wins in last 6 each).
Charlotte sits 8 points clear of Columbus with a superior goal difference and a stronger overall record, making them favourites despite traveling. Columbus's home advantage and possession-oriented style under Nancy keep them in the match, but their defensive frailties (31 conceded in 19) and Charlotte's balanced attack (32 scored) tip the edge to the visitors.
Columbus CrewCharlotte