Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H45%D25%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H47%D27%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H44%D27%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–2 | H34%D28%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H46%D26%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H48%D22%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H51%D23%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H40%D27%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H42%D25%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–0 | H48%D27%A25% | Correct | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H48%D21%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–0 | H52%D24%A24% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Colorado's polarized profile (few draws, strong at altitude in Commerce City) meets a Real Salt Lake side whose points have come largely at home, and the Rocky Mountain Cup edge plus home advantage tips a close matchup between two similar mid-table sides toward the Rapids.
Colorado's imposing home record and Real Salt Lake's away-day struggles point to a narrow Rapids win, while RSL's solid overall quality keeps the draw and away outcomes live.
Colorado Rapids hold solid home advantage at altitude in the Rocky Mountain Cup derby against a Real Salt Lake side that has struggled for consistency on the road.
Real Salt Lake holds a superior league position (6th vs 8th) and a better goal difference (+4 vs +4, but with fewer games played), suggesting higher overall efficiency. While Colorado has home-field advantage in the Rocky Mountain Cup, RSL's stronger standing makes them slight favorites in a closely contested derby.
Colorado's imposing home record at Dick's Sporting Goods Park contrasts with Real Salt Lake's road-weary away form, giving the Rapids a narrow edge despite RSL's slightly better points-per-game in a tight Western playoff race.
Colorado's strong home record at Dicks Sporting Goods Park and RSL's noted away-day struggles favor the hosts, but RSL's superior overall form (8W-4D-6L vs Colorado's volatile 8W-1D-10L) keeps the contest competitive; Colorado's extremely low draw rate (1 in 19) reinforces a decisive outcome, with a narrow 2-1 home win the most likely scoreline.
Both teams are locked in a tight Western Conference playoff race, with Colorado Rapids holding a slight home advantage but Real Salt Lake demonstrating resilience. Recent form suggests a closely contested match, with defensive solidity likely to prevail over attacking flair, making a draw the most balanced outcome.
Colorado have been strong at Dick's Sporting Goods Park (impressive post-World-Cup-break home run, only snapped by a 3-0 loss away at San Diego), while RSL arrive winless in seven straight MLS games with chronic away-day struggles and a 2-1 first-leg win to defend. Derby motivation (Rapids must win to retain the Rocky Mountain Cup) plus altitude and home advantage tilt this toward Colorado, though RSL's slightly better season-long record and Colorado's draw-averse, volatile profile keep the away and draw outcomes live.
Colorado's imposing home record offsets their winless run since April, while Real Salt Lake's superior overall form is undermined by poor away performances; both sides average ~1.5 goals per game, pointing to a narrow home victory in this Rocky Mountain Cup rivalry.
Real Salt Lake have been slightly stronger overall, but Colorado's home advantage largely offsets that edge. With both teams posting similar scoring and defensive records, a tight Rocky Mountain Cup draw is the likeliest scoreline.
Colorado Rapids hold a notable home advantage at Dick's Sporting Goods Park, with previews highlighting their imposing home record against a Real Salt Lake side that has struggled on the road. While RSL sits higher in the table with a better overall record (fewer losses, more draws), the Rocky Mountain Cup derby at altitude favors the home side in a tightly contested match where Colorado's home form gives them a narrow edge.
Colorado's altitude home edge and recent shutout streak at Dick's outweigh RSL's slight table lead, with Salt Lake winless in seven MLS games and chronically poor on the road. A tight, low-event derby favors a 1-0 Rapids result, the most common historical home scoreline in this rivalry.
Colorado boast a strong home record (6W-3L-0D with three consecutive home shutouts) while RSL are mired in a 7-game MLS winless streak and have won just once on the road all season (March 7 at Atlanta). Colorado's near-zero draw rate (1 in 19 games) points to a decisive result, and their home altitude advantage combined with RSL's road woes tilt this toward a Rapids win.
Colorado boasts a four-match home winning streak with three straight shutouts, while RSL is winless in seven MLS games, dealing with a long injury list and coming off a midweek 3-0 loss at the same venue. The Rapids' rest advantage and defensive dominance at home make them clear favorites.
Colorado RapidsReal Salt Lake