Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 2–1 | H50%D26%A24% | Correct | Exact |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H51%D24%A25% | Correct | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 2–1 | H53%D24%A23% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H52%D24%A24% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H52%D24%A24% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 2–1 | H42%D26%A32% | Correct | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H51%D25%A24% | Correct | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H55%D23%A22% | Correct | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Correct | Exact |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 2–1 | H55%D22%A23% | Correct | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H55%D24%A21% | Correct | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H52%D24%A24% | Correct | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Correct | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H52%D25%A23% | Correct | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H44%D26%A30% | Correct | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H54%D24%A22% | Correct | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Chicago Fire are strong at home with a solid points-per-game and in-form attack (Cuypers with 13 goals), while Portland are mid-table with a middling goal difference. The Fire's home advantage and better underlying record make them favorites, though Portland's attacking threat keeps this from being one-sided.
Chicago are among the East's most efficient sides with games in hand and a potent attack led by Cuypers and Zinckernagel, and they hold a clear home-field edge; Portland travel with a break-even goal difference and a leaky defense (33 conceded), which points to an open game the Fire should edge.
Chicago Fire are in strong form after three straight Leagues Cup wins and have the stronger league profile with a +9 goal difference, while Portland have been leakier defensively and are mid-table in the West. Home advantage and Chicago's superior defensive record make a Fire win most likely.
Chicago Fire have been in excellent form, recently sweeping their Leagues Cup group, and boast a potent attack led by Hugo Cuypers. With home advantage and Portland's leaky defense conceding nearly two goals per game, the Fire are strong favorites to secure the victory.
Chicago Fire enters this match in excellent form, having won their last four games across all competitions, and boasts a strong home record of 6-3-0. Conversely, the Portland Timbers have struggled significantly on the road this season (2-6-1) and are unlikely to keep a clean sheet against a potent Chicago attack led by Hugo Cuypers.
Chicago Fire enter in hot form at Soldier Field backed by top scorer Hugo Cuypers, while Portland Timbers continue to struggle defensively on the road where clean sheets have been hard to come by.
Chicago Fire are in strong form following a successful Leagues Cup run and possess a high-scoring threat in H. Cuypers. Portland has a neutral goal difference and is struggling for consistency, making the Fire favorites at home.
Chicago's superior efficiency (+9 GD in 17 games vs Portland's 0 in 18) and hot 3-0 Leagues Cup group form at home outweigh Portland's need to bounce back after a long cross-country trip; both sides score heavily so a narrow 2-1 home win is the most likely regulation outcome.
Chicago Fire are the stronger side (29 pts in 17 games vs Portland's 24 in 18) with a superior goal difference (+9 vs 0) and a potent attack led by Cuypers (13 goals) and Zinckernagel (7 assists). They return to MLS in hot form after a perfect 3-0 Leagues Cup group-stage run, while Portland are mid-table and on the road, making a narrow home win the most likely outcome.
Chicago Fire enters this match in strong form, recently winning all three Leagues Cup group-stage games, and holds a superior defensive record and home conference standing. Portland Timbers, while competitive, have shown inconsistency and a weaker away record, making the Fire slight favorites but with a significant chance of a draw.
Chicago Fire enter in hot form after a perfect Leagues Cup group stage and hold a stronger MLS record (9-2-6, +9 GD) with joint-top scorer Hugo Cuypers, while Portland Timbers are below .500 (7-3-8) and have conceded 33 goals in 18 matches.
Chicago are the stronger side (4th East, +9 GD with games in hand) and arrive in hot form with Cuypers (13 goals) leading the line, while Portland sit mid-table in the West with a leaky defense (33 conceded in 18) but enough attacking output (33 scored) to likely get on the scoresheet. Home advantage plus Chicago's superior defensive record makes a home win most likely, with 2-1 the modal scoreline.
Chicago Fire enter on strong form after a perfect Leagues Cup group stage and hold a superior home record (9-2-6 overall, +9 GD), while Portland Timbers have struggled for consistency on the road (7-3-8, 0 GD) and are seeking a return to winning ways.
Chicago have the stronger defensive record and enter this home fixture in good form, while Portland have conceded as many goals as they have scored. Both attacks are productive, making a narrow Chicago win the likeliest outcome.
Chicago Fire enters in hot form after a perfect Leagues Cup group stage and boasts a strong home record with the league's 4th-best defense (23 GA in 17 games) and top scorer Cuypers (13 goals). Portland sits mid-table in the West with a neutral goal difference and is seeking a return to the win column, making the Fire clear but not overwhelming favorites at home.
Chicago sit higher with a stronger GD and fewer games played, plus home advantage and recent Leagues Cup momentum; Portland are mid-table West with balanced but unspectacular numbers, so a narrow Fire win is the clearest outcome while respecting the usual ~25% draw rate.
Chicago Fire ride a four-match winning streak and enjoy home advantage plus superior defensive metrics, but Portland Timbers are unbeaten in four MLS games under new coach Cifuentes and already won 4-3 at Soldier Field this season, making this a tight contest with a strong draw possibility. The most likely decisive outcome favors Chicago's higher overall quality and Cuypers' prolific scoring, though the historically draw-heavy H2H in Illinois keeps the draw probability elevated.
Chicago Fire boast a superior defensive record (23 GA in 17 games) and are reportedly in strong form after a perfect Leagues Cup group stage, while Portland have been inconsistent with 8 losses in 18 and a neutral goal difference, making a home win the most likely outcome.
Chicago FirePortland Timbers