Charlotte
DC United| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 2–1 | H50%D27%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H50%D26%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H50%D26%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 2–1 | H46%D30%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H50%D27%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H49%D27%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H50%D27%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H47%D28%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 2–1 | H46%D29%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H42%D30%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H47%D29%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H46%D26%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H47%D28%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H43%D30%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H46%D29%A25% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Charlotte have home advantage at Bank of America Stadium and a stronger, in-form attack led by Pep Biel (10 goals, 7 assists) and Toklomati, while DC United are mid-table, draw-heavy and historically poor on the road against Charlotte (2-5-1 all-time), tilting this toward a narrow home win.
Charlotte are a solid home side with a balanced record and more attacking threat (Biel/Saint-Maximin), while DC United are draw-heavy (nine in 19) with a negative goal difference and a poor road profile. Home edge plus DC's tendency to keep games tight points to a narrow Charlotte win with a real chance of a draw.
Charlotte are strong at Bank of America Stadium (6-2-3) and have never lost at home to DC United (3W-1D-0L, 6-1 aggregate), with GK Kahlina keeping 5 clean sheets in 7 career meetings. DC's six-match unbeaten run ended with a heavy 3-0 home loss midweek, and they have just one road win since May, while Charlotte welcome back Saint-Maximin and boast in-form Pep Biel (3 goals in 2 games vs DC).
Charlotte FC benefits from a strong home advantage and the expected return of Allan Saint-Maximin to an already potent attack featuring Pep Biel and Wilfried Zaha. Although DC United has proven stubborn to beat with a league-high nine draws, Charlotte's superior goal-scoring form should help them edge a narrow victory.
Charlotte FC hold home advantage and possess a more effective attack led by Pep Biel, further boosted by the return of Allan Saint-Maximin. Although D.C. United are resilient and prone to drawing, their defensive vulnerabilities on the road make Charlotte the clear favorites to claim maximum points.
Charlotte hold solid home advantage and superior firepower over a DC United side that has drawn nearly half their league fixtures this season.
Charlotte holds a slight advantage in the standings and home field, bolstered by the return of Allan Saint-Maximin. However, DC United's high number of draws (9) and their desperation for a point to secure playoff positioning suggest a tight, low-scoring encounter.
Charlotte's stronger record (+4 GD vs -3) and home advantage, boosted by Saint-Maximin's expected return alongside Biel and Zaha, makes them favourites, but DC United's league-high 9 draws in 19 keeps draw probability elevated in a likely 2-1 type game.
Charlotte have the superior record (8W vs 5W, +4 vs -3 GD) and home advantage, but DC United's remarkable 9 draws in 19 games (47%) makes a level result the most likely exact scoreline. Charlotte's attack featuring Pep Biel and the returning Saint-Maximin should generate chances, while DC's draw-heavy nature and away struggles keep this tight.
Charlotte FC shows attacking intent with the return of Allan Saint-Maximin and a strong home record, but DC United's resilience and tactical discipline, particularly in neutralizing key threats like Pep Biel, make them hard to break down. Both teams have struggled for consistency recently, increasing the likelihood of a shared result.
Charlotte's superior home attack, spearheaded by Pep Biel and the returning Allan Saint-Maximin, gives them the edge over a DC United side that has been drawing at a league-high rate and has struggled for road wins; nevertheless, DC's recent point-taking form and Charlotte's defensive lapses keep the visitors competitive, making a narrow home win the most likely outcome.
Charlotte (5th East, +4 GD) are a shade stronger than DC United (9th, -3 GD) and benefit from solid home advantage, with Saint-Maximin's return boosting their attack; however, DC's league-high draw rate (9 in 19) keeps the stalemate probability elevated, and Charlotte's 2-1 win in last season's meeting at home points to a narrow home victory.
Charlotte sits 5th in the East with a +4 GD and returns Allan Saint-Maximin to bolster an attack led by Zaha and Biel (70%+ of offense). DC United draws at a 47% rate (9/19) and misses key defenders, but their low-loss profile (only 5 defeats) keeps the draw probability high at Bank of America Stadium.
Charlotte have the stronger goal difference and home advantage, with Allan Saint-Maximin’s expected return adding attacking threat. However, DC United have drawn nine of 19 matches, making a close stalemate a significant possibility.
Charlotte holds a clear home advantage with a superior record (28 pts vs 24) and positive goal difference, boosted by the return of Allan Saint-Maximin and the creative threat of Pep Biel. However, DC United's remarkably high draw rate (9 in 19 matches) and their need for points to secure a playoff spot keep them competitive, making a narrow Charlotte victory the most likely but not dominant outcome.
Charlotte sit clearly above DC in the East with a superior attack and goal difference plus home advantage; DC's high draw rate (9 in 19) keeps the stalemate live, but Charlotte's edge should produce a narrow home win.
Charlotte sit 5th with a positive goal difference (+4) and strong home attacking output (32 GF), while DC United are 9th with a negative GD (-3) but an unusually high draw rate (9 draws in 19 matches, 47%). Charlotte's key creative weapons (Biel, Saint-Maximin returning) give them the edge at Bank of America Stadium, though DC United's draw tendency keeps this closer than the table gap suggests.
Charlotte's strong home record (6-2-3), historical dominance over DC United at Bank of America Stadium (0-3-1 for DC with 1 goal scored in 4 visits), and DC's poor away form (2-2-6, no road win since May) favor the hosts. However, DC United's recent unbeaten run and 45% draw rate on the season keep the draw and away probabilities non-trivial.
CharlotteDC United