CF Montreal
Los Angeles Galaxy| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H33%D28%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H36%D32%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H37%D29%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H43%D28%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D26%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H40%D27%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H38%D31%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–1 | H33%D35%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H44%D26%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H33%D34%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H40%D29%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H36%D30%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H34%D28%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 0–1 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Both sides are lower-table with negative goal differences, but the Galaxy carry strong recent defensive form (one goal conceded in three August matches) and have won the last four meetings in this series; Montreal's home advantage keeps this close, with a low-scoring draw a real possibility.
Two struggling, low-scoring sides meet: Montreal's modest home advantage and the Galaxy's cross-country trip roughly offset LA's slightly better underlying numbers and draw-heavy profile (7 draws in 20). A tight, low-scoring game with a genuinely elevated draw chance is the expectation.
CF Montréal are at home, unbeaten in three and have Prince Owusu in scoring form, while LA Galaxy's defense has been excellent but they are missing key creators; this points to a tight, low-scoring contest.
Both teams sit 13th in their respective conferences with negative goal differentials, but CF Montreal benefits from home advantage and an uptick in recent form, going unbeaten in their last three matches. LA Galaxy's slightly better season-long defensive metrics are offset by the cross-conference travel, making a tightly contested draw a strong possibility.
CF Montreal enter on a three-match unbeaten run and hold home advantage at Stade Saputo, though their overall defensive record remains weak. Meanwhile, the LA Galaxy have demonstrated improved defensive tightness during August, pointing to a closely fought 1-1 draw.
Montreal have shown positive signs in recent performances and benefit from home advantage against an LA Galaxy side enduring cross-continent travel and struggling for away consistency.
CF Montreal is showing improving form and xG trends, while LA Galaxy struggles near the bottom of the Western Conference with a poor goal difference. Given the travel distance and Montreal's recent unbeaten streak, a closely contested draw is the most likely outcome.
Montreal unbeaten in three with xG superiority in last two and home advantage offsets Galaxy's slightly better points tally; both defences are leaky (36 and 30 GA) pointing to goals but Montreal's recent momentum makes a narrow home win most likely.
Both clubs are lower-table sides with leaky defenses (Montreal 1.89 GA/game, Galaxy 1.50 GA/game) and modest attacks, but the research notes flag Montreal as unbeaten in their last three with positive xG at home, while the Galaxy have drawn 7 of 20 and struggle to close out away matches, making a low-scoring draw the single most likely outcome.
CF Montreal have shown improved form recently, including strong xG performances in their last two matches, which suggests they are competitive. However, Los Angeles Galaxy have a historical edge over Montreal, including a dominant 4-0 win in their last meeting. Both teams are mid-table, and this match is likely to be closely contested, with a draw a realistic outcome.
Montreal enters unbeaten in three with strong underlying xG, while the Galaxy have not conceded an open-play goal in nearly 300 minutes. However, LA's punishing three-day transcontinental turnaround after a midweek home match blunts its attack and makes a low-scoring draw the most likely result.
Montreal arrive unbeaten in three with superior xG in their last two and a 2-1 away win last time, and home advantage plus the long cross-country trip for the Galaxy tilts a matchup of two defensively vulnerable, bottom-half sides toward the hosts. Galaxy's slightly better overall body of work and Reus's creativity keep an away result live, but both teams' leaky defenses point to goals.
Both teams sit in the bottom half of their conferences with similar negative goal differences; Montreal's home advantage is counterbalanced by LA Galaxy's higher draw rate (35% vs 26%), pointing to a tight, low-scoring contest.
Montreal’s recent three-match unbeaten run and improved underlying performances combine with home advantage to offset the Galaxy’s slightly stronger season record. Both sides have struggled for consistency, making a close, relatively low-scoring draw the likeliest scoreline.
Both teams sit in the lower half of their conferences with weak attacks (Montreal 1.32 goals/game, Galaxy 1.20), but Montreal holds home advantage and enters in strong recent form (unbeaten in last three with positive xG). Galaxy's unusually high draw rate (7 in 20 games) and Montreal's improved defensive solidity in recent matches point toward a tight, low-scoring affair where a draw is highly plausible.
Both sides sit near the foot of their conferences with poor records and negative goal differences; Galaxy edge slightly on points and away quality while Montreal's home form and recent unbeaten run keep it tight, making a low-scoring draw the most probable single outcome.
Both sides sit 13th in their respective conferences and are closely matched in quality—Montreal's slight home-field edge and recent three-match unbeaten run are offset by Galaxy's marginally better overall points record and higher draw rate (7 in 20 games). A low-scoring draw reflects two struggling attacks (Montreal 1.32 GF/game, Galaxy 1.20 GF/game) and leaky defenses.
LA Galaxy's strong August defensive form (1 goal conceded in 3 matches, 298 minutes without an open-play goal against), significant summer reinforcements (Lozano, Furuhashi, Taylor), and dominant H2H record (4 straight wins vs Montreal) give them the edge despite Montreal's home advantage and recent uptick in results.
CF MontrealLos Angeles Galaxy