CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy AI Predictions — MLS

Regular Season - 21·22 Aug · 23:30 UTC·Saputo Stadium·✓ Completed
CF Montreal flagCF Montreal
22
Los Angeles Galaxy flagLos Angeles Galaxy

AI consensus

Consensus pick
CF Montreal
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 76% · D 12% · A 12%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
CF Montreal2.14
Draw3.73
Los Angeles Galaxy3.28

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
38%28%34%1-1✗ miss
36%32%32%1-1✗ miss
40%28%32%1-1✗ miss
37%29%34%1-1✗ miss
43%28%29%2-1✗ miss
38%26%36%1-1✗ miss
40%27%33%2-1✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
38%31%31%1-1✗ miss
40%30%30%1-1✗ miss
33%35%32%1-1✓ hit
44%26%30%2-1✗ miss
33%34%33%1-1✓ hit
40%29%31%1-1✗ miss
36%30%34%1-1✗ miss
34%28%38%1-1✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
35%30%35%1-1✗ miss
30%28%42%0-1✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 28% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME1-1
H 36% · D 32% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 28% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 29% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME2-1
H 43% · D 28% · A 29%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 26% · A 36%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME2-1
H 40% · D 27% · A 33%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 31% · A 31%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagDRAW1-1
H 33% · D 35% · A 32%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME2-1
H 44% · D 26% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagDRAW1-1
H 33% · D 34% · A 33%✓ hit✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 29% · A 31%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME1-1
H 36% · D 30% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-1
H 34% · D 28% · A 38%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagAWAY0-1
H 30% · D 28% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
This page records every AI model's prediction for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 21). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy played?
The match kicked off 22 Aug · 23:30 UTC at Saputo Stadium. It is part of the Major League Soccer on footballarena.ai's Major League Soccer hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
No. The AI consensus picked CF Montreal, but the match finished 2–2 — a draw. 76% of 17 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Of 17 models: 76% picked CF Montreal, 12% a draw, and 12% Los Angeles Galaxy. The consensus pick was CF Montreal; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): CF Montreal 2.14 · Draw 3.73 · Los Angeles Galaxy 3.28. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.