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CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati — predictions and result

CF Montreal
90-minute result3–1
FC Cincinnati
Regular Season - 27Saputo Stadium

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–2
H29%D26%A45%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–2
H27%D26%A47%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–2
H28%D26%A46%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–2
H30%D26%A44%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H26%D33%A41%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H30%D35%A35%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H25%D26%A49%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H25%D30%A45%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–2
H29%D25%A46%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–2
H27%D26%A47%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–2
H24%D28%A48%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–2
H22%D25%A53%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–2
H22%D24%A54%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Cincinnati are the stronger side on points and carry a potent attack (46 goals) even if their defence leaks badly, while Montreal sit near the bottom of the East with a negative goal difference and limited scoring. Home advantage and Cincinnati's defensive absences keep it close, so a high-scoring narrow away win is the most likely single outcome with a real chance of a draw.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

CF Montreal are in poor form on a five-game losing streak and sit near the bottom of the East, while FC Cincinnati have more quality and are pushing for a top playoff spot despite defensive absences. Montreal's home edge keeps it competitive, but an away win is the most likely outcome.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

FC Cincinnati boast one of the league's most potent attacks led by Kevin Denkey and Evander, giving them the edge over a struggling CF Montreal side that sits near the bottom of the Eastern Conference.

Muse Spark 1.2

Montreal arrive on a five-game losing slide and struggle to contain high-volume attacks, while Cincinnati have dominated recent head-to-heads and felt unlucky to draw their last two; despite tested defensive depth and new signings bedding in, Cincinnati's superior firepower makes them narrow away favourites in a high-event game.

MiniMax M3

FC Cincinnati are clearly the better side on paper (27 pts vs 17, with Denkey/Evander-driven attack netting 46 goals) but Montreal's desperate bid to end a five-game losing streak at home plus Cincinnati's recent inability to finish games (two straight draws, feeling 'victory was on the table') tilts this toward a deadlock. The high draw probability reflects Cincinnati's overall draw-heavy profile (6 of 19) and Montreal's home resilience against a Cincinnati side traveling with defensive absences and integrating new signings like Malacia.

Mistral Large 3

CF Montreal are on a five-game losing streak and struggling defensively, while FC Cincinnati have been inconsistent but show attacking threat. Both teams have motivation to avoid defeat, and recent draws in Cincinnati's form suggest a tightly contested match likely to end level.

Kimi K3

Cincinnati carries the stronger attack (46 goals, with Denkey and Evander in form) against a Montreal side that has lost 10 of 19 and concedes freely, but Cincinnati's own defensive absences and back-to-back draws — plus the cross-border road trip — keep a draw or home upset genuinely live. Expect goals at both ends, with Cincinnati's quality edge making an away win the likeliest single result.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

FC Cincinnati are significantly higher in the table (6th vs 13th) with a far superior attack (46 goals vs 25) and face a CF Montreal side on a five-game losing streak; however, Cincinnati's leaky defense (45 conceded) and reported defensive absences make a draw very plausible, while Montreal's home desperation keeps the home-win probability non-trivial.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Cincinnati’s potent attack, led by Denkey and Evander, gives them the edge against a Montreal side on a five-match losing streak. Cincinnati’s defensive absences and poor goals-against record leave Montreal a meaningful chance to score.

Qwen3.7 Plus

CF Montréal are on a five-game losing streak and sit 13th in the East with the league's second-worst goal difference, while FC Cincinnati (6th, 27 pts) boast a potent attack led by Denkey (11 goals) and Evander (8 assists). Despite some defensive absences for Cincinnati, Montréal's dire form and leaky defense (36 GA) make the visitors clear favorites, though the away trip and Cincinnati's already-secured playoff positioning keep the draw probability meaningful.

Grok 4.5

Montreal is last in the East on a five-game losing streak and nine-match home winless run, further decimated by ~13 absences (internationals + injuries) leaving a bare bench, while Cincinnati holds a dominant H2H (four straight wins) and superior quality/depth despite missing Denkey and others; Cincy's poor away record and both sides' recent draws keep the draw live but away edge prevails in a typically open fixture.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

CF Montreal are on a five-game losing streak and sit 14th in the East with the second-worst goal difference, while FC Cincinnati boast one of the league's most potent attacks (46 goals, joint-top in the East) and have historically dominated this matchup. Cincinnati's defensive vulnerabilities give Montreal a chance to score, but the gulf in quality and form points to an away win.

GLM-5.2

FC Cincinnati sit 10 points ahead of CF Montreal and boast one of the league's most potent attacks (46 goals in 19 games), while Montreal enters on a five-game losing streak. Cincinnati's defensive absences and leaky back line (45 conceded) could allow Montreal to find a goal, but Cincinnati's superior firepower should secure the away win.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeCF Montreal
2.68
DrawLevel at 90′
3.88
AwayFC Cincinnati
2.45