CF Montreal
Columbus Crew| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H36%D28%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H41%D27%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H37%D30%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H40%D24%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H30%D32%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H35%D28%A37% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H34%D28%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H30%D27%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H33%D31%A36% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Two struggling, low-scoring sides separated by three points: Columbus are marginally better defensively and on the ball, but Montreal's home edge at Saputo evens it out. A tight, cagey 1-1 is the most likely outcome with the draw genuinely in play.
Montreal have home advantage and won the reverse fixture 2-1 in August, but both sides are in poor league form and missing key players, which should keep this tight. Expect a low-scoring game, with 1-1 the likeliest scoreline.
Both sides are struggling in the lower tiers of the Eastern Conference table with nearly identical records. Montreal's home advantage gives them a slight edge, but a closely contested draw remains the most probable single outcome.
Both sides sit in the lower Eastern Conference with negative goal differences and modest scoring, but Montreal's home advantage offsets Columbus's slight table edge and current road losing streak, making a low-scoring draw or narrow home win most likely.
Two evenly matched lower-table Eastern Conference sides separated by only 3 points and both with negative goal differences; Montreal's home advantage is roughly canceled out by Columbus's slightly superior underlying numbers (27 GF / 31 GA vs 25 GF / 36 GA), making a low-scoring draw the most plausible single outcome.
Two struggling Eastern Conference sides with leaky defenses (Montreal 1.89 GA/game, Columbus 1.63) and modest attacks, so goals should flow but neither team can dominate. Montreal's home edge at Stade Saputo and Columbus's poor road form give the hosts a slight lean, though the near-even quality makes 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.
Columbus has superior recent MLS form (3W-2L) and better underlying metrics (GD -4 vs -11), but Montreal won the reverse fixture 2-1 and holds home advantage at Saputo Stadium; both sides carry significant injury lists and have conceded heavily, making a low-scoring draw the most likely single outcome.
Columbus have the better defensive record and a modest overall edge, but Montreal's home advantage makes this closely balanced. With neither side showing strong results and both averaging under 1.5 goals per match, a 1-1 draw is the likeliest scoreline.
Both teams are in the bottom third of the Eastern Conference with weak attacks (Montreal 1.32 gpg, Columbus 1.42 gpg) and leaky defenses, making a low-scoring affair likely. Columbus holds a slight edge in overall quality and goal difference, but Montreal's home advantage at Stade Saputo keeps this tightly contested, with a narrow away win or a draw the most probable outcomes.
Both sides sit near the Eastern Conference basement with poor records and negative GDs after 19 games; Columbus holds a slight edge in points and goal difference but Montreal's home venue keeps it tight, making a low-scoring draw the most probable single outcome.
Columbus Crew hold a modest edge in points per game (1.05 vs 0.89) and goal difference (-4 vs -11), with a more competent defensive record (1.63 goals conceded per game vs 1.89), though Montreal's home venue at Stade Saputo narrows the gap and makes a draw quite plausible between two struggling Eastern Conference sides.
Both sides sit in the bottom four of the East with poor defensive records, making a tight, low-quality affair likely. Columbus holds a slight edge in points and goal difference, but Montreal's home advantage narrows the gap, pushing the draw probability up.
CF MontrealColumbus Crew