CF Montreal
Charlotte| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H29%D27%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H29%D24%A47% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H33%D27%A40% | Correct | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H30%D26%A44% | Correct | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H27%D28%A45% | Correct | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H28%D25%A47% | Correct | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H32%D26%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H27%D26%A47% | Correct | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Correct | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H28%D35%A37% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H28%D26%A46% | Correct | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Charlotte are the stronger, more defensively solid side (roughly a goal per game better in goal difference) and Montreal have been leaky at both ends, but Saputo Stadium and Montreal's decent historical record in this fixture keep the gap modest, so a tight, low-scoring game with real draw equity is likely.
Charlotte's stronger attack and defensive record make them the likelier winner, but Montreal's home edge and MLS's high draw rate keep this tight, with 1-1 the most probable exact scoreline.
Charlotte FC enters in significantly better form and with superior defensive stability compared to a struggling CF Montreal side that has conceded 36 goals in 19 matches.
Charlotte are 11 points and +15 GD ahead of Montreal and arrive on two straight shutout wins, while Montreal have four players ruled out and concede 1.9 per game; Montreal's strong home H2H vs Charlotte keeps it close but Charlotte's better attack and tighter defence make 1-2 the most likely narrow away win.
Charlotte sit 11 points clear of 13th-placed Montreal with a vastly superior goal difference (+4 vs -11) and arrive on back-to-back shutout wins, while Montreal's -18 goal differential in Eastern Conference play and four players ruled out point to significant struggles despite a historically strong home record in this fixture (last Saputo meeting won 2-0).
Both teams have struggled recently, but Charlotte's defensive solidity (two straight shutouts) and historical edge over Montreal (3 wins in last 4 meetings) balances Montreal's home advantage and attacking depth. The structured data shows Charlotte's defense is tighter, while Montreal's attack is inconsistent, making a low-scoring draw the most likely outcome.
Charlotte (28 pts, +4 GD) are clearly the stronger side this season against a struggling Montreal (17 pts, -11 GD) that concedes nearly 1.9 goals per game and has four players ruled out. MLS home advantage and Montreal's decent historical record in this fixture keep the home win and draw live, but Charlotte's superior attack and defensive stability make an away win most likely.
Charlotte enter in strong form (unbeaten in 5, 2.2 PPG) with a potent attack (1.74 goals/game), while Montreal have conceded in 8 straight matches and average just 0.8 PPG at home; Montreal's historical H2H edge is outweighed by current form and defensive frailty.
Charlotte have the stronger overall profile, with a better goal difference and a notably sturdier defence, while Montreal reportedly have four players unavailable. Montreal’s home advantage and favorable history in this matchup keep the draw and home-win chances meaningful.
Charlotte sit 5th in the East with a +4 GD and come in on two straight shutout wins, while Montreal languish 13th with a -11 GD and four players ruled out. Despite Montreal's historical home success against Charlotte, the visitors' superior defensive record and attacking output make them clear favorites, though the away fixture keeps the draw probability meaningful.
Charlotte sit 5th in the East with a solid GD and better attack/defense than 13th-placed Montreal, who concede freely; H2H edge for visitors and Charlotte's quality should edge a tight away win despite Montreal's home boost.
Montreal's extraordinary draw rate this season (12 draws in 23 games) makes the stalemate the single most likely outcome, while Charlotte's two straight shutout wins and superior overall quality give them a slight edge if there is a winner. Charlotte's defensive solidity and Montreal's tendency to concede but find late equalizers points to a low-scoring draw.
Charlotte sit 11 points clear of Montreal with a far superior goal difference and arrive on a two-shutout streak, while Montreal are missing four players and have won just four times all season. Montreal's historical H2H edge at home keeps this from being a blowout, but Charlotte's better attack and defense make them clear favourites.
CF MontrealCharlotte