Austin
Vancouver Whitecaps| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H25%D26%A49% | Correct | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H17%D24%A59% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H26%D26%A48% | Correct | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H27%D25%A48% | Correct | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H26%D24%A50% | Correct | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Correct | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H22%D24%A54% | Correct | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H18%D24%A58% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H21%D25%A54% | Correct | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H21%D24%A55% | Correct | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H22%D25%A53% | Correct | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H23%D24%A53% | Correct | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H20%D24%A56% | Correct | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Vancouver are among the West's best with by far the strongest defence in the conference (17 goals against in 17 games), while Austin have a negative goal difference and one of the league's weakest attacks. Q2 Stadium gives Austin some hope of a low-scoring draw, but the Whitecaps' quality edge makes them clear favourites.
Vancouver Whitecaps are the stronger side at both ends and have a clear head-to-head edge, so an away win is most likely; Austin's home advantage and the league's typical draw rate keep a draw and an upset plausible.
Vancouver Whitecaps boast one of the strongest defensive and offensive records in the Western Conference, giving them a significant edge over an Austin side struggling with a -14 goal difference.
Vancouver are 2nd in West with league-best defence (17 GA in 17, +21 GD) against Austin 14th (-14 GD, 2.0 GA/game) and lead H2H 6-2-3, making them favourites even away, though Austin at home projects to score once.
Vancouver sit 2nd in the West with a dominant +21 goal difference (38 GF, 17 GA) while Austin are 14th with a -14 GD, making the Whitecaps clear favorites despite being away; however, Austin's recent August road wins in Seattle and Portland suggest enough home resilience to keep it close, with both sides likely to score.
Vancouver Whitecaps hold a superior head-to-head record, stronger underlying metrics (goals scored/conceded, and recent form), and Austin's inconsistency against Western Conference teams. However, Austin's motivation to climb the playoff race and Vancouver's recent dip in form justify a cautious outlook, making a draw a plausible outcome.
Vancouver are far stronger this season (2nd in the West, +21 GD, league-best 17 goals conceded) while Austin sit 14th with a weak attack (22 GF) and leaky defense (-14 GD), and the Whitecaps also dominate the head-to-head 6-2. Austin's home edge keeps an upset or draw live, but Vancouver's superior quality and defensive solidity make an away win the most likely outcome, with both teams scoring plausible given Austin's home scoring rate.
Vancouver Whitecaps sit 2nd in the West with a +21 goal difference and 2.24 goals per game, while Austin are 14th with a -14 GD and 1.22 goals per game; H2H favors Vancouver 6W-2L-3D, and expected-goals models project ~2.3 vs ~1.1.
Vancouver have been substantially stronger at both ends, with 38 goals scored and only 17 conceded, while Austin have a -14 goal difference. Home advantage gives Austin a chance, but Vancouver’s superior form and favorable head-to-head record make an away win most likely.
Vancouver Whitecaps are vastly superior on the table (2nd in the West, +21 GD, best defense in the league with just 17 conceded) and dominate the H2H record (6-2-3). Austin's leaky defense (36 goals conceded in 18 games) and poor scoring rate (22 GF) make them unlikely to contain Vancouver's potent attack, though home advantage and recent road wins suggest they can contribute a goal.
Vancouver sit 2nd in the West with a +21 GD and elite defense (17 GA), while Austin are 14th with a -14 GD and leaky back line; H2H and quality gap favor the Whitecaps even on the road, though home games and MLS variance keep the draw live.
Vancouver sit 2nd in the West with a strong defensive record (17 GA in 17 matches) while Austin are 14th with a leaky backline (36 GA in 18) and a poor H2H record (2W-6L-3D vs Vancouver). The quality gap is substantial—Vancouver average 2.24 goals per match to Austin's 1.22—making an away win the most likely outcome despite Austin's home advantage.
Vancouver sit 2nd in the West with the best defensive record (17 GA in 17 games) and a +21 goal difference, while Austin are 14th with a -14 GD and the second-worst attack in the conference. Vancouver also dominate the H2H (6W-3D-2L), and though Austin have home advantage, the quality gap is too large to ignore.
AustinVancouver Whitecaps