Austin
San Diego| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H31%D28%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H40%D27%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H34%D27%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H38%D26%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H30%D30%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H33%D29%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H36%D29%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H34%D31%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H33%D31%A36% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Austin's leaky defence (2.0 goals conceded per game) and blunt attack make them vulnerable even at Q2 Stadium, while San Diego carry the stronger attacking numbers and Anders Dreyer's form despite losing Ingvartsen to injury. San Diego's inconsistency on the road and Austin's home edge keep the draw very live.
Austin's home advantage and steadier recent form give them a narrow edge, but San Diego's better season-long numbers and dominant head-to-head record make it tight, with a draw a very live result.
San Diego holds a clear attacking edge over an Austin side that has struggled defensively all season, conceding two goals per game on average. Even with home advantage for Austin at Q2 Stadium, the visitors' superior offensive output makes them slight favorites to edge a close contest.
Austin's home advantage and playoff push offsets San Diego's better season metrics (+4 GD vs -14) and 2-1 H2H edge this season; San Diego arrives on poor form (three straight losses before 2-2 at Miami, 0-5 to Philadelphia) and without top scorer Ingvartsen (11 goals), making a low-scoring stalemate most likely.
San Diego sits 7 points and 18 goals clear of Austin in the standings with a far superior goal difference (+4 vs -14), and despite missing top scorer Ingvartsen, they have Dreyer in hot form (two goals vs Inter Miami). Austin's home advantage is undermined by their paltry 22 goals scored all season and a leaky defense (36 conceded); San Diego should edge this but Austin's home grit keeps the draw a live outcome.
Austin FC struggles with consistency and depth issues, particularly with key absences, while San Diego FC has shown resilience in away matches despite recent form. Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning, and their recent draws and shared vulnerabilities suggest a tightly contested match likely to end in a stalemate.
Austin's home advantage and San Diego's slump (three straight losses before scraping a draw at Miami, including a 0-5 home defeat) are compounded by the absence of San Diego's injured top scorer Ingvartsen, tilting this toward the hosts. However, San Diego's clearly superior season numbers and their 2-1 edge in this season's head-to-head keep them dangerous, so a tight, low-scoring draw is very live.
San Diego holds a clear edge in overall form and head-to-head results (winning two of three meetings this season), while Austin will be without starting striker Marcus Ingvartsen; Anders Dreyer's 11 goals and a recent resilient draw at Inter Miami suggest San Diego can edge a tight contest.
San Diego have the stronger overall scoring and defensive record and have won two of three meetings this season, but their recent struggles and Marcus Ingvartsen's absence reduce their edge. Austin's home advantage makes a close draw the likeliest exact scoreline.
Austin's home advantage is offset by their league-worst attack (22 goals in 18 games) and San Diego's recent resilience (2-2 draw at Inter Miami), but the loss of top scorer Marcus Ingvartsen (11 goals) significantly weakens San Diego's offensive threat. Both teams are desperate for playoff points and likely to play cautiously, making a low-scoring draw the most probable outcome.
Austin enters with superior recent form (unbeaten in six, 2W-3D last five) and home advantage at Q2 while chasing playoffs, outweighing San Diego's slight table edge and prior 5-0 H2H thrashing; San Diego's three straight losses before the Miami draw and weaker away record (2-4-6) make a narrow home win the most likely.
Both teams are in a desperate playoff fight just one point apart, but Austin's strong recent home form (unbeaten in 5 MLS, though heavy on draws) and San Diego's dire run of 3 losses in 4 MLS matches point to a tight, cagey contest. San Diego's superior attacking quality (Dreyer's 22 goal contributions) gives them a fractional edge, but missing top scorer Ingvartsen and their poor road form make a draw the most likely single outcome.
San Diego sits higher in the table and has the better overall squad, but they are missing top scorer Ingvartsen to injury and come in poor form (0-5 loss to Philadelphia before a lucky draw at Miami). Austin are weak overall but have home advantage at Q2 Stadium, making a tight, low-scoring affair the most likely scenario with a slight edge to San Diego.
AustinSan Diego