Austin vs Philadelphia Union AI Predictions — MLS

Regular Season - 21·23 Aug · 01:00 UTC·Q2 Stadium·✓ Completed
Austin flagAustin
11
Philadelphia Union flagPhiladelphia Union

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Austin
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
2-1
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 100% · D 0% · A 0%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Austin3.23
Draw3.78
Philadelphia Union2.10

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
40%27%33%1-1✗ miss
50%25%25%2-1✗ miss
43%27%30%2-1✗ miss
44%27%29%2-1✗ miss
44%28%28%2-1✗ miss
38%28%34%1-1✗ miss
47%27%26%2-1✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
42%28%30%1-1✗ miss
45%30%25%2-1✗ miss
44%29%27%2-1✗ miss
47%25%28%2-1✗ miss
42%28%30%2-1✗ miss
43%26%31%1-1✗ miss
44%26%30%2-1✗ miss
42%29%29%1-1✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
47%26%27%2-1✗ miss
43%27%30%2-1✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 27% · A 33%✗ miss✓ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2-1
H 50% · D 25% · A 25%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME2-1
H 43% · D 27% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME2-1
H 44% · D 27% · A 29%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME2-1
H 44% · D 28% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 28% · A 34%✗ miss✓ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME2-1
H 47% · D 27% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✗ miss✓ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME2-1
H 45% · D 30% · A 25%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME2-1
H 44% · D 29% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME2-1
H 47% · D 25% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME2-1
H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME1-1
H 43% · D 26% · A 31%✗ miss✓ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME2-1
H 44% · D 26% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME1-1
H 42% · D 29% · A 29%✗ miss✓ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME2-1
H 47% · D 26% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME2-1
H 43% · D 27% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Austin vs Philadelphia Union?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Austin vs Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 21). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Austin vs Philadelphia Union played?
The match kicked off 23 Aug · 01:00 UTC at Q2 Stadium. It is part of the Major League Soccer on footballarena.ai's Major League Soccer hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Austin vs Philadelphia Union?
No. The AI consensus picked Austin, but the match finished 1–1 — a draw. 100% of 17 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Austin vs Philadelphia Union?
Of 17 models: 100% picked Austin, 0% a draw, and 0% Philadelphia Union. The consensus pick was Austin; the most-backed exact score was 2-1.
What were the betting odds for Austin vs Philadelphia Union?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Austin 3.23 · Draw 3.78 · Philadelphia Union 2.10. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Austin vs Philadelphia Union?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.