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Austin vs Nashville SC — predictions and result

Austin
90-minute result1–4
Nashville SC
Regular Season - 28Q2 Stadium

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–2
H24%D27%A49%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek0–1
H16%D24%A60%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–2
H24%D26%A50%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta0–1
H22%D26%A52%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–0
H20%D26%A54%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H30%D35%A35%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H22%D26%A52%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H20%D25%A55%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI0–2
H19%D24%A57%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–2
H20%D25%A55%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–2
H22%D26%A52%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi0–2
H18%D24%A58%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai0–1
H22%D30%A48%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Nashville are the league's most complete side — elite defensively (fewest goals conceded) with Surridge and Mukhtar in strong scoring form — while Austin are among the leakiest teams and blunt in attack, having already been beaten 3-0 by this opponent. Home advantage at Q2 Stadium and Austin's patient, low-event style keep a draw realistically in play, but Nashville are clear favourites.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Nashville's stronger defense and attack give them a clear edge, while Austin's home advantage and Nashville's low-scoring style make a tight away win or draw most likely.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Eastern Conference leaders Nashville SC boast the league's tightest defense and a potent attack led by Sam Surridge and Hany Mukhtar. Austin FC's defensive vulnerabilities and modest home form make an away victory the most probable outcome.

Muse Spark 1.2

Nashville arrive top of the East with league-best defense (15 GA in 19) and a shutout streak while Austin sit 14th in West and lose Diego Rubio to suspension, but Austin's home advantage and recent surge under interim coach Davy Arnaud keeps draw probability honest.

MiniMax M3

Nashville SC sit atop the East with 43 pts and the league's best defense (15 GA in 19 games), while Austin are 14th in the West with a league-worst -14 GD; Nashville also beat Austin 3-0 earlier this month. Austin's home advantage and stylistic similarity warrant a non-trivial draw probability (~26%), but Nashville's shutout streak and dominant defense make a narrow 1-0 road win the most plausible scoreline.

Mistral Large 3

Nashville SC are the stronger team on paper and in form, but Austin FC's home advantage, stylistic similarities, and Nashville's recent fixture intensity (including a shutout streak) suggest a tightly contested match. The draw is the single most likely outcome, with both teams canceling each other out in a low-scoring affair.

Kimi K3

Nashville are the class of the league (43 pts, +24 GD, just 15 goals conceded) and already beat Austin 3-0 this month, while Austin sit near the bottom of the West with a -14 goal difference and are missing the suspended Diego Rubio. Home advantage at Q2 Stadium and MLS's high draw rate keep a point plausible, but the gap in attacking and defensive quality favors an away win.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Nashville SC leads the Eastern Conference with the league's best defense (15 GA in 19 games) and won the reverse fixture 3-0; Austin FC sits 14th in the West with a -14 goal difference and misses suspended Diego Rubio, making Nashville clear favorites despite Austin's home advantage.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Nashville combine the league’s strongest defensive record with a far more efficient attack, while Austin have struggled at both ends. Home advantage gives Austin some chance, but Nashville are clear favorites to win.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Nashville SC are the dominant force in MLS with the league's best defense (15 GA in 19 games) and a commanding lead in the East, while Austin sit 14th in the West with a leaky defense and weak attack. Despite Austin's home advantage and desperation for points in their playoff chase, Nashville's quality—led by Surridge's 16 goals and Mukhtar's creativity—should prove too much, though the hosts may find a goal at Q2 Stadium.

Grok 4.5

Nashville lead the East with elite defense (15 GA) and attack while Austin sit near the West bottom with a -14 GD; even as visitors the quality gap makes an away win most likely, though home draws remain common in MLS.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Nashville SC are the class of MLS this season (43 pts, best defense with just 15 GA in 19 matches, on a shutout streak) and already thrashed Austin 3-0 earlier this month; Austin are 14th in the West, missing suspended Rubio, and despite home motivation their leaky defense (36 GA) should be punished by Mukhtar and Surridge again.

GLM-5.2

Nashville SC sit atop the East with the league's best defense (15 GA in 19 games) and are chasing the Supporters' Shield, while Austin languish near the bottom of the West with a -14 goal difference and a key suspension (Rubio). Nashville won 3-0 in the reverse fixture earlier this month, but Austin's home advantage and Nashville's away context give the draw a realistic 30% chance.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeAustin
3.85
DrawLevel at 90′
3.83
AwayNashville SC
1.94