Austin
Colorado Rapids| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H36%D27%A37% | Missed | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H36%D31%A33% | Missed | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H36%D28%A36% | Missed | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H36%D27%A37% | Missed | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H25%D38%A37% | Correct | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H28%D23%A49% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H33%D27%A40% | Missed | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H28%D25%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H28%D24%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Colorado are the stronger side on points and goal difference but are streaky and rarely draw, while Austin's home advantage narrows the gap in a fixture between two low-scoring, defensively vulnerable teams; a tight 1-1 or one-goal margin is the likeliest shape.
Austin's home edge and four-match unbeaten run give them a slight edge, but Colorado's stronger defensive record and Austin's leaky back line keep this tight, making a 1-1 draw the most likely single scoreline.
Austin holds home advantage at Q2 Stadium but has struggled defensively this season, while Colorado brings a more solid defensive record despite inconsistent away performances.
Colorado holds the better season record (+4 GD vs -14) but Austin's home advantage and Colorado's ongoing absences (Steffen, KDP, Diop) narrow the gap; both rank among the lowest-scoring attacks, pointing to a tight, low-scoring game where a 1-1 draw is the single most likely scoreline.
Colorado is the clearly stronger side on paper (25 pts vs 17, +4 vs -14 GD, 25 GA vs 36 GA) and enters in better recent form, but Austin's home advantage and Colorado's notable injury absences (Steffen, KDP, Diop, Travis) blunt that edge. Both teams score at a modest rate, making a low-scoring stalemate the single most likely 90-minute outcome, with Colorado marginally favored to nick it.
Both teams are defensively oriented and struggle offensively, with Austin and Colorado ranking at the bottom of the league for goals scored. The match is likely to be tight, low-scoring, and evenly contested, with a draw the most probable outcome given their recent form and tactical approaches.
Colorado is the clearly stronger side on both ends — positive GD (+4) versus Austin's league-worst-tier defense (2.0 conceded/game, GD -14) — and the Rapids still have playoff seeding to fight for while Austin sits 14th; MLS home advantage keeps Austin competitive, but the visitors' quality edge makes them favorites even on the road. Colorado's extreme aversion to draws (1 in 19) also shades the stalemate probability slightly below league baseline.
Colorado Rapids hold a clear edge in the standings (8th vs 14th, +8 points, +18 GD) and enter in better form despite missing Steffen, KDP, Diop, and Travis; Austin's -14 goal difference and league-low offense make them vulnerable, though home advantage and recent 3-1 win over Seattle keep the draw probability high.
Colorado have the stronger overall profile, with a positive goal difference and a much tighter defense, but Austin's home advantage keeps this competitive. Austin's defensive vulnerability gives the Rapids a slight edge, though a 1-1 draw is the most plausible exact scoreline.
Colorado Rapids sit 8 points clear of Austin in the Western Conference with a far superior goal difference (+4 vs -14) and a much stronger defensive record, making them clear favorites despite playing away. However, Austin showed offensive spark in a recent 3-1 home win over Seattle, and Colorado are missing key players (Steffen, KDP, Diop, Travis), which keeps the match competitive and the draw probability meaningful.
Colorado sit well clear of Austin on points, goal difference and defensive record after 19 games, while Austin’s attack and overall form remain among the West’s weakest; the visitors therefore carry the edge even on the road, though a tight low-scoring contest and honest draw chance remain likely.
Colorado's 6-point standings advantage, superior GD (+0 vs -13), and dominance in possession metrics (8th in passes completed vs 21st) make them clear favorites despite missing GK Steffen, while Austin's improved recent form (unbeaten in 4) and home advantage narrow but don't close the gap. Colorado's remarkable 1-draw-in-23 record suggests a decisive result is most likely.
Colorado Rapids sit 8 points clear of Austin with a far superior goal difference (+4 vs -14) and a more potent attack, making them favorites despite being away. However, Colorado's significant injury list (Steffen, KDP, Diop, Travis out) and Austin's home advantage plus tendency to draw (5 in 18) keep this competitive enough to warrant a modest draw probability.
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