Atlanta United FC
Orlando City SC| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H36%D27%A37% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H41%D27%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H41%D26%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H30%D28%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H42%D24%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H28%D30%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H37%D27%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H33%D27%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H30%D32%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H30%D30%A40% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Two struggling sides: Atlanta have home advantage but the East's weakest attack (about 1.1 goals per game), while Orlando score freely yet concede at a very high rate on the road, which largely cancels out any host edge. Their recent meeting also ended level, and a low-to-moderate scoring draw is the single most likely outcome.
Atlanta United's improved recent form and home edge give them a narrow advantage, but Orlando City are the stronger side on the table and both defenses have been leaky, making a draw a very live outcome.
Atlanta United's strong home backing should give them the edge against an Orlando City side that possesses attacking quality through Ojeda but has conceded a conference-worst 48 goals.
Atlanta is bottom overall but has won 3 of last 5 at home, offsetting Orlando's 6-point table edge; Orlando's league-worst 48 goals conceded and recent 4-3 shootout wins suggest both teams score, with Atlanta's home advantage tipping a close, high-event game.
Both Atlanta (15th East, 4W-3D-12L) and Orlando (10th East, 6W-3D-10L) are struggling, but Orlando's superior attack (31 GF vs 21 GF) and better points haul give them the edge on the road, while Atlanta's home advantage keeps the match close. The recent H2H in this rivalry was a 1-1 draw, which fits two low-confidence sides cancelling each other out.
Orlando City SC has shown resilience in recent matches and is playing at home with a congested fixture schedule, which may impact Atlanta United's rotational depth. Both teams have struggled to break each other down recently, as evidenced by their 1-1 draw in their last meeting, making a draw the most likely outcome.
Atlanta sit bottom of the East but play at home against an Orlando side with the conference's leakiest defense (48 conceded in 19), which should let even Atlanta's weak attack (21 GF) find goals; Orlando counter with the far better attack (31 GF, Ojeda on 11), keeping this tight — the sides already drew 1-1 in Orlando this season, so a narrow home edge in a high-variance matchup.
Orlando's significantly better attack (31 goals vs Atlanta's 21) and Atlanta's leaky defense (34 GA) outweigh home advantage; the teams drew 1-1 in their last meeting but Orlando's firepower edges a tight contest.
Atlanta’s home advantage offsets Orlando’s stronger attack and slightly better overall record, leaving this rivalry finely balanced. Both defenses have struggled, but their previous 1-1 meeting supports another close draw.
Orlando City holds a modest edge in quality (21 pts vs 15 pts, +31 GF vs +21 GF) and faces a struggling Atlanta side that has won just 4 of 19 matches. However, Orlando's league-worst defense (48 GA) and Atlanta's home advantage keep this competitive, with Orlando's superior attack likely proving the difference in a narrow away win.
Atlanta enter with stronger recent momentum (WWWLD, including three straight 2-1 wins and a 2-2 at Miami) plus home advantage, while Orlando's attack is potent (Griezmann hot, Ojeda leading) but their away record remains poor (2-2-7, 37 GA). Both sides concede freely, favoring a home win in an open game over a draw or road result.
Both teams struggle at their respective venues, but Orlando's superior attacking output (31 GF vs 21) and Atlanta's poor home record (4W-1D-6L) give the visitors a slight edge, with a draw also a strong possibility given MLS parity.
Orlando sit six points and two places above bottom-side Atlanta and boast a far more potent attack (31 GF vs 21), though both defenses are leaky. Atlanta's home advantage narrows the gap, but their league-worst win rate (4 in 19) makes Orlando the slight favourites in what should be a contest with goals at both ends.
Atlanta United FCOrlando City SC