Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H28%D24%A48% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H27%D26%A47% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H32%D26%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H30%D26%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 0–1 | H26%D28%A46% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H29%D26%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H22%D28%A50% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H28%D25%A47% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H27%D25%A48% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H28%D26%A46% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H27%D25%A48% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H24%D26%A50% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Chicago are a top-four Eastern side with a potent attack (Cuypers among the league's leading scorers, Zinckernagel creating) while Atlanta sit bottom of the conference with the fewest goals scored and a heavy loss column. Home advantage and Atlanta's playoff urgency keep it from a blowout, but the Fire are clearly the stronger side.
Chicago are the stronger, playoff-bound side with the superior attack, but Atlanta's home urgency and Chicago's defensive absences keep it tight. The Fire have the edge, while 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline.
Chicago Fire enter in much stronger form and sitting near the top of the Eastern Conference, driven by the prolific scoring of Hugo Cuypers. Atlanta United have struggled at the bottom of the table with 12 defeats already this season, making an away victory the most probable outcome.
Chicago's much stronger overall form and elite attack with Cuypers (13 goals) gives them the edge despite Atlanta being at home, while Atlanta's league-low 15 points and -13 GD versus Chicago's +9 GD points to a narrow away win rather than a comfortable one.
Chicago are the stronger side overall (top-four East with Lewandowski, Bamba and in-form Haile-Selassie) and already won this season's reverse fixture 1-0 at Soldier Field, while Atlanta's home form has collapsed (winless in five at Mercedes-Benz Stadium) with an attack that has produced 21 goals in 19 matches. Chicago's own finishing has dried up (one goal in two matches) and Atlanta's desperation for a win raises the draw and upset chances, but the visitor's superior quality should edge a low-scoring Chicago win.
Chicago (4th in the East, 29 pts, +9 GD, Cuypers on 13 goals) is clearly the stronger side against bottom-of-conference Atlanta (15 pts, -13 GD), making the Fire favorites even on the road. Atlanta's home-field edge and desperation to stay in the playoff race keep an upset or draw plausible, but the Fire's superior attack and defensive record point to an away win.
Chicago Fire sits 4th in the East with 29 points from 17 games versus Atlanta's 15 from 19; Hugo Cuypers leads Chicago's attack with 13 goals and is in strong form, while Atlanta has the conference's second-worst goal difference (-13) and is winless on the road this season.
Chicago have been substantially stronger at both ends, with a +9 goal difference compared with Atlanta’s -13 and Hugo Cuypers providing a consistent scoring threat. Atlanta’s home advantage keeps them competitive, but Chicago are more likely to capitalize on their defensive vulnerability.
Chicago Fire sit 4th in the East with a +9 GD and league-top scorer Hugo Cuypers (13 goals), vastly outperforming last-place Atlanta (15th, 4W in 19, -13 GD) on both sides of the ball. However, Atlanta's home advantage at Mercedes-Benz Stadium and their desperation to keep slim playoff hopes alive prevent this from being a runaway, making a narrow Chicago victory the most likely outcome.
Chicago sit 4th with a strong attack led by Cuypers and a solid GD while Atlanta are last with the East's weakest attack and defense; even at home the quality gap favors an away win, though draws remain common in MLS.
Chicago sits fourth in the East with a +9 goal difference and one of the conference's sharper attacks (Cuypers in form on 13 goals, Zinckernagel creating), while Atlanta is bottom-three with the league's second-worst defense and only 21 goals scored despite home advantage and desperation. The Fire's superior quality and Atlanta's struggles against decent opposition make an away win the likeliest single outcome, though Atlanta's must-win urgency keeps the draw and a narrow home result in play.
Chicago (4th, +9 GD, playoff-bound) are vastly superior to last-place Atlanta (15th, -13 GD, near elimination), and boast the league's joint-top scorer in Cuypers. Atlanta's home advantage and desperation for points keep the draw alive, but Chicago's quality edge should prevail.
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire