Claude Opus 5
Toulouse are the stronger side on paper and at home, dominating possession, but both teams have made winless starts and Le Havre's matches have been consistently low-scoring, pointing to a tight, narrow home win with a real draw risk.
Ligue 1Full time
Toulouse vs Le Havre — predictions and result
Toulouse90-minute result3–2
Le HavreRegular Season - 5Stadium de Toulouse
Predictions
12 published · 1 missing| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–0 | H48%D28%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H34%D36%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–0 | H47%D30%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H43%D28%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H38%D34%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H39%D30%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H47%D30%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H32%D38%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H36%D31%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H42%D31%A27% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Two winless, low-scoring sides meet in an early survival fight; Toulouse have a slight home edge, but Le Havre's matches have trended under 2.5 goals, making a cagey 1-1 draw the most likely outcome.
Gemini 3.7 Flash
Both sides have shown cautious, low-scoring tendencies early in the campaign. Toulouse's superior control of possession and home advantage give them the edge to edge out a narrow victory against a defensively minded Le Havre.
Muse Spark 1.2
Toulouse have home advantage with 53% possession and superior passing accuracy, but both arrive winless and Le Havre have been low-scoring (under 2.5 in 5 of last 6) with one clean sheet, making a tight low-goal game most likely with 1-1 the single most probable scoreline.
MiniMax M3
Both sides are winless heading into this early-season survival clash, with Le Havre particularly low-scoring recently (under 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 Ligue 1 matches) and Toulouse showing solid possession but limited cutting edge. A tight, low-scoring draw fits the data and matches independent model projections, with a slight edge to Toulouse given home advantage.
Kimi K3
Both clubs arrive winless after four rounds in an early relegation-zone scrap, and Le Havre's matches have been consistently low-scoring (under 2.5 goals in five of six), pointing to a tight, cagey contest. Toulouse's home advantage and slightly stronger underlying play make them narrow favourites, but a 1-1 stalemate is the single most likely scoreline.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Both sides are winless early on; Le Havre's last six Ligue 1 matches have produced under 2.5 goals five times, while Toulouse hold a modest home possession edge — a tight, low-scoring draw is the most probable outcome.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Toulouse’s home advantage and cleaner possession play give them a modest edge. Le Havre’s recent low-scoring pattern points to a tight match with a substantial draw chance.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Both teams are winless in the early stages of the season and Le Havre's recent matches have been consistently low-scoring, making a tight, low-event game highly probable. A draw is the most likely result as Toulouse's home advantage is offset by Le Havre's defensive resilience.
Grok 4.5
Both sides enter winless in an early-season survival scrap; Toulouse's slight home edge and possession control are offset by Le Havre's low-scoring, compact style that frequently yields draws, making 1-1 the modal outcome.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Both teams enter winless in what's described as an early survival fight, making this a cagey, low-scoring affair between evenly-matched struggling sides. Toulouse have home advantage and better possession/passing metrics, but Le Havre's matches have frequently stayed under 2.5 goals, pointing to a tight draw as the likeliest outcome.
GLM-5.2
Both sides are winless early in the season, with Toulouse controlling possession (53%) but lacking cutting edge, while Le Havre's matches have been consistently low-scoring. A tight, cautious affair points toward a 1-1 draw, though Toulouse's home advantage gives them a slight edge in outright probability.
Recorded pre-match odds
- HomeToulouse
- 1.71
- DrawLevel at 90′
- 4.09
- AwayLe Havre
- 4.95