Toulouse
Estac Troyes| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H57%D24%A19% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H61%D23%A16% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H54%D26%A20% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H56%D24%A20% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H55%D27%A18% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–0 | H60%D23%A17% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H58%D27%A15% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H50%D26%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Toulouse at home are an established mid-table Ligue 1 side with a solid Stadium record, while newly promoted Troyes have looked defensively fragile (conceding six at Strasbourg) and have several absentees. Toulouse should control the game, though Troyes' counter-attacking threat keeps a clean sheet from being the default.
Toulouse are in strong scoring form and unbeaten in four, while Troyes have lost five straight and own the league's leakiest defence. Toulouse's long unbeaten H2H run and home advantage make a home win the clear most likely outcome.
Toulouse hold the home advantage and boast superior squad quality against an ESTAC Troyes side struggling for defensive solidity.
Toulouse at home for matchday 8 are favoured against promoted Troyes who showed major defensive fragility in a 2-6 loss to Strasbourg and travel with multiple absences, though Troyes' attack should still threaten for a consolation goal.
Troyes are bottom-but-one with only 4 points from 7 games (-11 GD), have failed to score in any of their three away matches (0-2 at Lorient, Lille, Angers), and are in disarray after selling their top scorer and dismissing their sporting director last week, while Toulouse sit mid-table with a strong attack (Tengstedt, Jørgensen) and just won 3-0 away at Le Mans; Toulouse's weak home record (one win in three) and low home scoring keep the draw probability respectable, so a narrow1-0 home win is the most likely scoreline.
Toulouse are finding form (3-0 win at Le Mans, two wins in three) and are unbeaten in 12 straight against Troyes, winning their last eight home meetings; Troyes, newly promoted and second-bottom with 4 points, have lost five of six, conceding freely (2-6 v Strasbourg, 1-3 v Lens) while failing to score in four matches.
Toulouse at home with a near-full strength attack (Russell-Rowe, Tengstedt) against a Troyes side missing several players; historical matchup and tactical previews point to a narrow home win.
Toulouse have home advantage and appear better equipped in attack, while Troyes are reportedly dealing with several absences and defensive concerns. Troyes can still threaten, but Toulouse are more likely to edge a competitive match.
Toulouse sit 11th with 9 points and solid attacking form (10 goals in 7 games), while Troyes are rock-bottom in 17th with just 4 points, have lost five straight matches, and are conceding 2.3 goals per game amid coaching instability. Despite Toulouse's modest home record, Troyes's dire defensive form and failure to score in 4 of 7 games make the hosts clear favorites, though a Troyes goal is plausible given their occasional away threat.
Toulouse at home hold a clear edge in squad quality and attacking options against a Troyes side dealing with absences and weaker away form; a narrow home win is the modal outcome while draws remain common in Ligue 1.
Toulouse at home with an attack led by Russell-Rowe and Tengstedt faces a Troyes side hit by multiple absences and coming off a 2-6 thrashing by Strasbourg that highlighted serious defensive frailty. The hosts' home edge and Troyes' leaky back line point to a narrow Toulouse win, with 2-1 the most likely scoreline.
Toulouse, despite a poor home record (1W-0D-2L), face a Troyes side rooted in the relegation zone with just 4 points from 7 games and a leaky defense (conceded 6 to Strasbourg, 3 to Lens). Toulouse's recent 2-2 draw at Monaco shows competitive form, and they should exploit Troyes' defensive frailties at home.
ToulouseEstac Troyes