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Strasbourg vs Lens — predictions and result

Strasbourg
90-minute result2–1
Lens
Regular Season - 2Stade de la Meinau

Predictions

18 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic1–1
H37%D27%A36%
CorrectMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H39%D27%A34%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–2
H22%D26%A52%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle1–2
H22%D26%A52%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle1–1
H38%D30%A32%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–1
H38%D30%A32%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle1–1
H34%D28%A38%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–2
H22%D24%A54%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H40%D28%A32%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H35%D30%A35%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot1–2
H20%D28%A52%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H27%D25%A48%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H40%D30%A30%
CorrectExact
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H37%D29%A34%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H44%D27%A29%
CorrectExact
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–2
H28%D26%A46%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–2
H26%D26%A48%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H42%D28%A30%
CorrectExact

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Strasbourg return home after a heavy 4-0 loss at Marseille that was skewed by a red card, while Lens arrive buoyant off a 5-2 win over Auxerre; the home venue and Strasbourg's decent recent H2H record against Lens balance out Lens's stronger opening form, pointing to a tight, closely-contested game.

Claude Opus 5

Two closely matched sides: Strasbourg's young, high-tempo squad is strong at the Meinau, while Lens carry real attacking threat through Thauvin, Ivanovic and Sima, and recent meetings have been tight and low-scoring. Home advantage gives Strasbourg a slight edge, but the draw is a very live outcome in an early-season fixture with little form to separate them.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Lens come in with strong form and firepower after a 5-2 opening win, while Strasbourg were beaten 4-0 at Marseille, are without the suspended El Mourabet, and have won only one of the last seven head-to-head meetings; Strasbourg's defensive struggles make an away win most likely.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Lens started the season in blistering form with a 5-2 win over Auxerre, while Strasbourg suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat to Marseille. With a potent attack led by Florian Thauvin and Abdallah Sima, Lens are strong favorites to secure an away victory against a vulnerable Strasbourg defense.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Strasbourg's strong domestic record at Stade de la Meinau gives them a slight edge, but Lens remain a defensively organized and dangerous side on the counter. A tightly contested fixture with shared points is a high-probability outcome.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Both sides are evenly matched with strong attacking options, making a closely contested draw at the Stade de la Meinau the most probable result.

Gemma 4 31B

Lens possesses a slightly stronger overall squad profile with experienced players like Thauvin and Sima, but Strasbourg has shown strong home form and a tendency to frustrate Lens in recent head-to-heads. Given it is early in the season, a closely contested draw is a highly probable outcome.

Muse Spark 1.2

Lens arrive with three consecutive competitive wins (Trophée des Champions over PSG and 5-2 vs Auxerre) and have lost just once since April, while Strasbourg were hammered 4-0 at Marseille, sit bottom and are on a 15-game run without a clean sheet plus suspension/injuries. Lens' in-form attack led by Thauvin and Ivanovic should exploit Strasbourg's defensive vulnerability even at Stade de la Meinau.

MiniMax M3

Strasbourg have been formidable at home (5 wins in last 6 competitive home matches) and beat Lens 2-0 in the most recent meeting, but Lens are historically the stronger side with quality attackers (Thauvin, Saint-Maximin, Édouard) and this northern derby tends to be tight; a low-scoring draw is the single most plausible scoreline.

Mistral Large 3

Both teams are evenly matched based on recent head-to-head results and current form, with Strasbourg showing strong home performance but Lens possessing quality in attack and midfield. The draw is a genuine possibility given their recent meetings and tactical setups.

Kimi K2.6

Lens are high on confidence after a 5-2 opening-day victory and have lost only one competitive match since April, whereas Strasbourg were thumped 4-0 at Marseille and have failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 games. With the hosts also depleted by suspensions and injuries, an away win is the most probable result.

Kimi K3

Lens arrive in excellent shape — last season's runners-up beat PSG in the Trophée des Champions and put five past Auxerre on MD1, with Thauvin and Ivanovic sharp, and they've won four of the last seven H2Hs. Strasbourg were thrashed 4-0 at Marseille, haven't kept a clean sheet in 15 games, and lose El Mourabet to suspension with several others doubtful, though Lens' own defensive absentees (Gradit, Baidoo, Celik, Chavez) keep the hosts' scoring hopes alive in what should be an open game.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Strasbourg's strong home form (5 wins in last 6 home matches) and a 2-0 win in the last meeting give them a slight edge, but early-season uncertainty and Lens's attacking talent keep draw and away win plausible.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Strasbourg’s home advantage slightly offsets Lens’s greater experience and attacking quality. With no current-season form available and the squads appearing closely matched, a tight draw is the likeliest scoreline.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Strasbourg boast formidable home form with five wins in their last six competitive matches at Meinau and have won three of four H2H meetings against Lens under Pierre Sage, including a 2-0 victory in the most recent encounter. Both sides are 1-0 after opening-week wins (Strasbourg over Marseille, Lens over Auxerre), but Strasbourg's home advantage and tactical edge over Lens make them the narrow favorites in what should be a competitive match.

Grok 4.5

Lens enter as last season's runners-up and Coupe winners, fresh off beating PSG and a 5-2 rout of Auxerre, while Strasbourg are reeling from a 0-4 collapse at Marseille with a long clean-sheet drought and a key suspension. Recent H2H and the quality gap favor an away win despite home advantage.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Lens are in superb form with three consecutive wins including a 5-2 demolition of Auxerre and a Trophée des Champions victory over PSG, while Strasbourg were thrashed 4-0 by Marseille in their opener and have significant injury/suspension absences plus a prolonged clean-sheet drought. Recent H2H also favors Lens (4 wins in last 7 meetings), though Strasbourg's home advantage keeps this from being a complete mismatch.

GLM-5.2

Strasbourg boast strong home form with five wins in their last six competitive home matches and won the most recent meeting between these sides 2-0. Lens have quality in Thauvin and Ivanovic but Strasbourg's home advantage and momentum under Pierre Sage tip the balance toward a narrow home victory.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeStrasbourg
3.68
DrawLevel at 90′
3.51
AwayLens
2.09