Strasbourg vs Lens AI Predictions — Ligue 1

Regular Season - 2·29 Aug · 15:15 UTC·Stade de la Meinau·✓ Completed
Strasbourg flagStrasbourg
21
Lens flagLens

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Strasbourg
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
1-1
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 53% · D 0% · A 47%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Strasbourg3.68
Draw3.51
Lens2.09

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
39%27%34%1-1✓ hit
22%26%52%1-2✗ miss
22%26%52%1-2✗ miss
38%30%32%1-1✓ hit
38%30%32%1-1✓ hit
34%28%38%1-1✗ miss
22%24%54%1-2✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
40%28%32%1-1✓ hit
35%30%35%1-1✓ hit
20%28%52%1-2✗ miss
27%25%48%1-2✗ miss
40%30%30%2-1✓ hit
37%29%34%1-1✓ hit
44%27%29%2-1✓ hit
28%26%46%1-2✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
26%26%48%1-2✗ miss
42%28%30%2-1✓ hit
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME1-1
H 39% · D 27% · A 34%✓ hit✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagAWAY1-2
H 22% · D 26% · A 52%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagAWAY1-2
H 22% · D 26% · A 52%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 30% · A 32%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 30% · A 32%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagAWAY1-1
H 34% · D 28% · A 38%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagAWAY1-2
H 22% · D 24% · A 54%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 28% · A 32%✓ hit✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 20% · D 28% · A 52%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 27% · D 25% · A 48%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME2-1
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✓ hit✓ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 29% · A 34%✓ hit✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME2-1
H 44% · D 27% · A 29%✓ hit✓ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-2
H 28% · D 26% · A 46%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY1-2
H 26% · D 26% · A 48%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME2-1
H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✓ hit✓ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Strasbourg vs Lens?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Strasbourg vs Lens in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 2). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Strasbourg vs Lens played?
The match kicked off 29 Aug · 15:15 UTC at Stade de la Meinau. It is part of the Ligue 1 on footballarena.ai's Ligue 1 hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Strasbourg vs Lens?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was Strasbourg, and the match finished 2–1. 53% of 17 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Strasbourg vs Lens?
Of 17 models: 53% picked Strasbourg, 0% a draw, and 47% Lens. The consensus pick was Strasbourg; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Strasbourg vs Lens?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Strasbourg 3.68 · Draw 3.51 · Lens 2.09. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Strasbourg vs Lens?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.