Stade Brestois 29
Toulouse| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H31%D34%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H44%D29%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H43%D28%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–0 | H40%D28%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H42%D30%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H36%D28%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Two closely matched mid-table sides: Brest get a modest boost from a tight, hostile Francis-Le Blé, but Toulouse have been the more consistent of the pair and have held their own in recent meetings, so a low-scoring, tightly contested game is likely.
Toulouse's strong recent H2H edge (won the last two meetings 2-0) and fewer defensive absentees give them a slight away lean, but Brest's home attack and the draw-heavy H2H history at Le Blé make a 1-1 draw the likeliest exact scoreline.
Brest hold the home advantage at Stade Francis-Le Blé where their organized structure gives them the edge. Toulouse remain competitive in transition, but Brest are favored to secure a narrow victory in a tightly contested fixture.
Historically, these sides are closely matched with Toulouse having a slight edge in recent head-to-head wins, but Brest's home advantage at Stade Francis-Le Blé often balances the contest. Given the early stage of the season and the competitive parity between these mid-table profiles, a draw is a highly probable outcome.
Brest have home advantage and scored twice at Le Mans but have conceded in four straight at Francis-Le Blé, while Toulouse created 2.8 xG vs Lyon and won both meetings 2-0 last season; the matchup looks evenly balanced and open, making a scoring draw the single most likely scoreline.
Very early-season matchday 2 fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides with no current form data available. Brest holds a slight home advantage at Stade Francis-Le Blé, but Toulouse's historical H2H edge (6 wins in last 16 meetings) and the typical tightness of these matchups make a 1-1 draw the most plausible single scoreline, with a narrow home win as the marginal favorite.
Historical head-to-head data shows closely contested matches between Stade Brestois 29 and Toulouse, with no clear dominance from either side. Both teams are starting the season with equal standing, and the draw probability reflects their evenly matched recent encounters.
With the season just starting and no form data available, these two profile as evenly matched mid-table Ligue 1 sides, and the head-to-head record (Toulouse winning 6 of the last 16) confirms there is little between them. Brest's home advantage at the Stade Francis-Le Blé tips the balance slightly toward a tight, low-scoring home win, with the draw a very live alternative.
Brest hold home advantage and greater squad continuity under new manager Julien Lachuer, having drawn 2-2 at Le Mans on MD1 with the league's second-highest xG (2.7). Toulouse, under new coach Jens Berthel Askou, lost 2-0 to Lyon despite generating 2.8 xG and four big chances, and have conceded multiple goals in four of their last five away league games in 2026. However, Toulouse won both H2H meetings last season 2-0, and Brest have conceded in four straight home fixtures. The sides are evenly matched; Brest's home edge and attacking output tip the balance slightly.
Brest's home advantage gives them a modest edge, but the lack of current-season form and the relatively balanced matchup make a draw a substantial possibility. A low-scoring contest is the likeliest pattern.
Brest's home advantage gives them a slight edge in this early-season clash between two historically mid-table sides, but Toulouse's strong recent head-to-head record keeps the contest highly competitive and likely to be decided by a narrow margin.
Early-season Ligue 1 match with no prior form or standings separation; Brest hold a slight home edge in a typically tight fixture between evenly matched mid-table sides, where draws are frequent and 1-1 is the modal low-scoring outcome.
Both sides are in managerial transition and showed mixed results on matchday one — Brest scored but conceded freely at Le Mans, while Toulouse dominated xG (2.63) yet lost 0-2 at home to Lyon. Brest's ongoing defensive fragility (conceded in 10 straight Ligue 1 games) is offset by their home advantage and attacking threats in Del Castillo and Ajorque, making a draw the most honest single outcome.
Brest's home advantage and strong attacking output (2.7 xG in opener, Del Castillo in form) give them a slight edge, but their defensive frailty at home (conceding in 4 straight, multiple goals in 3) and Toulouse's excellent record at Stade Francis-Le Blé keep this nearly even.
Stade Brestois 29Toulouse