Stade Brestois 29
Angers| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–0 | H48%D28%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 0–1 | H33%D31%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H53%D27%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H48%D27%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H47%D28%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H39%D27%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H33%D35%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H52%D28%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H37%D29%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H39%D34%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H33%D30%A37% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Brest have home advantage at Francis-Le-Blé and a reasonable early-season base, while Angers are a markedly low-scoring side who struggle to create away from home. A tight, low-scoring game is likely, with the hosts narrow favourites and a real chance of a stalemate.
Angers arrive in better form with two straight clean sheets and a strong away record, while Brest are missing key centre-backs and have struggled at home. Brest's set-piece threat is also likely to be neutralized by an Angers side yet to concede from a dead-ball situation.
Stade Brestois hold significant home advantage at Stade Francis-Le-Blé and possess superior attacking efficiency compared to an Angers side that historically struggles for goals on the road.
Brest at home on Matchday 6 (1-2-2, 11th) holds clear advantage over a low-scoring Angers side noted at 49% below league average for goals, pointing to a narrow home win in a low-scoring game.
Brest hold a meaningful attacking edge at home (scoring ~6% above league average vs Angers at ~49% below), and the home advantage at Stade Francis-Le-Blé tilts the balance, though this early-season Matchday 6 fixture still carries notable uncertainty, reflected in the elevated draw probability.
This is far tighter than historical reputation suggests: Brest sit 11th on 5 points (1W-2D-2L) having lost their last two, while Angers are 7th on 7 points with matching xPts, unbeaten on the road (3-1 at Auxerre, 0-0 at Le Havre) and have scored in four straight. Brest's home edge at Francis-Le Blé keeps them marginal favourites, but the last head-to-head finished 1-1 and a repeat stalemate is the single most likely scoreline.
Brest sit 11th with 5 points (1W-2D-2L) and have lost two straight, dropping points from winning positions; Angers are 7th with 7 points (2W-1D-2L), unbeaten in three away games with two clean sheets. Both sides are strong on set pieces but Brest lack a killer instinct, while Angers' defensive structure is sturdy. Historical home dominance for Brest is offset by current form and the international-break rust factor.
Brest have home advantage and the stronger recent scoring profile, while Angers have produced well below the league-average attacking output. A relatively tight, low-scoring home win is the likeliest outcome.
Brest are winless in four of their last five and lost their most recent match 2-1 at Auxerre, while Angers arrive in stronger form (unbeaten in their last two, solid defensively with two clean sheets and a strong away record). The teams are separated by just two points, their last meeting ended 1-1, and both sides have modest attacking output, pointing to a tight, low-scoring draw.
Angers sit higher with better recent form (unbeaten in three of last four, strong away defense and clean sheets) while Brest have just one win amid injuries and dropped leads under a new coach; home H2H edge and set-piece threat keep it tight, favoring a low-scoring draw as the modal outcome.
Brest have the historical home edge (9 wins in 17 at Stade Francis-Le Blé) and score above league average, but their current form is patchy (1W-2D-2L). Angers are unbeaten but extremely draw-prone (likely 4 draws in 5 games) with a stingy away defense, making a low-scoring draw the most probable single outcome.
Brest's dire form (1 win in 14 Ligue 1 matches, conceding in all) and Angers' back-to-back clean sheets tip the balance toward the visitors, but Brest's home advantage and the tight nature of recent H2H meetings (last was 1-1) keep this close, making a draw a strong possibility.
Stade Brestois 29Angers