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Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco — predictions and result

Paris Saint Germain
90-minute result1–2
Monaco
Regular Season - 3Parc des Princes

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic3–1
H71%D17%A12%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H54%D25%A21%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H58%D23%A19%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H58%D23%A19%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H60%D23%A17%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H45%D30%A25%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H58%D23%A19%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H55%D25%A20%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H61%D21%A18%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H56%D24%A20%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H55%D24%A21%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H52%D24%A24%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H50%D27%A23%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

PSG remain France's dominant side with far superior squad depth and an excellent home record at the Parc des Princes, where they have beaten Monaco consistently in recent seasons. Monaco carry enough attacking threat to score, but early-season rhythm and quality gap point to a comfortable home win.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

PSG's strong home record and superior squad quality make them clear favourites, while Monaco remain dangerous enough to earn a solid share of the probability, with a competitive draw also realistic.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Paris Saint-Germain possess superior attacking depth and a formidable record at the Parc des Princes, giving them the edge over a dangerous but inconsistent Monaco side.

Muse Spark 1.2

PSG's superior squad quality and formidable Parc des Princes home record (13 wins) plus 24-11 H2H dominance make them clear favourites, but Monaco's strong away form (6 wins) suggests a competitive game with both teams scoring.

MiniMax M3

PSG's dominant home record (13 home wins historically) and overall H2H superiority (24W-15D-11L in last 50) make them clear favorites, but Monaco's quality as a Ligue 1 contender keeps the match competitive, with a narrow home win the most likely outcome.

Mistral Large 3

PSG's superior squad quality, home advantage, and stronger recent form make them favorites, but Monaco's resilience and the historical frequency of draws in this fixture justify a significant draw probability.

Kimi K3

PSG hold a clear edge in squad quality and head-to-head history (24 wins to Monaco's 11 in the last 50 meetings) and are especially strong at the Parc des Princes. Monaco are a capable attacking side that can score away, so a competitive match with a PSG win is most likely, with the draw a live possibility given two top attacking teams early in the season.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

PSG's historical dominance at Parc des Princes (13 home wins) and superior H2H record (24-11-15 in last 50) outweigh Monaco's decent away form; early-season matchday 3 favors the deeper, more consistent squad.

GPT-5.6 Sol

PSG’s superior squad quality and strong home advantage make them clear favourites. Monaco carry enough attacking threat to score, but PSG are more likely to control the decisive phases.

Qwen3.7 Plus

PSG's historical dominance in this fixture and formidable home record at the Parc des Princes make them clear favorites, though Monaco's proven away form suggests they will pose a significant attacking threat.

Grok 4.5

PSG hold a clear historical edge at home and across the last 50 H2H meetings (24 wins to Monaco's 11), with superior squad depth making them favorites early in the season despite both sides starting level on points.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

PSG's strong home record at Parc des Princes (13 home wins) and a dominant H2H record (24W-15D-11L in 50 meetings) make them clear favourites, though Monaco's quality ensures this remains competitive. Early-season uncertainty and Monaco's respectable away form keep the draw and away probabilities meaningful.

GLM-5.2

PSG are Champions League winners with superior squad depth and home advantage, but have drawn both opening matches and needed late stoppage-time goals each time. Monaco arrive with a perfect record and no goals conceded, plus confidence from winning 3-1 at the Parc des Princes in March, but key attacking absences (Balogun, Fati, Minamino) limit their counter-attacking threat. PSG's quality should eventually prevail in a tight contest.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeParis Saint Germain
1.41
DrawLevel at 90′
4.99
AwayMonaco
6.30