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Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon — predictions and result

Paris Saint Germain
90-minute result2–0
Lyon
Regular Season - 8Parc des Princes

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H65%D20%A15%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–0
H64%D21%A15%
CorrectExact
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle3–1
H67%D20%A13%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H60%D23%A17%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H62%D22%A16%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H50%D28%A22%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H57%D24%A19%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H55%D25%A20%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI3–1
H64%D20%A16%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H57%D23%A20%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H58%D23%A19%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H62%D22%A16%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai3–1
H64%D21%A15%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

PSG are on a seven-game winning run including a 4-2 Champions League win over Barcelona and have been scoring freely at the Parc des Princes, while Lyon arrive off a 3-0 Europa League defeat at Hoffenheim with defensive frailties on the road. Lyon's level (joint-top on points) keeps this from being a mismatch, so a narrow home win is the most likely outcome.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

PSG are at home, in excellent form with seven straight wins, and Lyon are missing key attackers Openda, Sulc and Nakamura plus defender Tagliafico after a 3-0 Europa League loss. That should give Paris control, though Lyon's organisation keeps a draw/away threat honest.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

PSG are in peak form with seven consecutive victories across all competitions, including a 4-2 win over Barcelona in midweek. In contrast, Lyon are reeling from a 3-0 Europa League defeat to Hoffenheim and are unlikely to contain Paris's prolific home attack.

Muse Spark 1.2

PSG are on seven straight wins including a 4-2 Champions League win over Barcelona and have scored heavily at Parc des Princes, while Lyon just lost 3-0 to Hoffenheim and have been more open away; with both on 14 points after 7 games, home advantage tilts a tight top-of-table clash to PSG.

MiniMax M3

PSG at the Parc des Princes have seven straight wins and have won their last three home matches by a combined 13-3, but they are badly depleted (Kvaratskhelia's ACL, Dembele and Marquinhos thigh injuries, Nuno Mendes out) and Lyon arrive on a short turnaround after a 3-0 Europa League hiding at Hoffenheim while missing Openda, Sulc, Tagliafico and with Keito Nakamura suspended, leaving the Gones light up top. PSG's home quality and depth should still win out, though the weakened attack and Lyon's set-piece threat make a one-goal PSG win the most likely scoreline.

Mistral Large 3

PSG enter this match in strong form, with seven consecutive wins and a high-scoring attack, while Lyon have shown defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in Europe. However, Lyon’s resilience and identical league points make a draw a realistic outcome, though PSG’s home advantage and momentum tilt the balance slightly in their favor.

Kimi K3

PSG arrive on a seven-game winning streak including a 4-2 Champions League win over Barcelona and have been prolific at home this autumn, while Lyon — despite sitting level on 14 points atop the table — come off a deflating 3-0 Europa League loss to Hoffenheim and have leaked goals away from home. Lyon's strong start keeps them live underdogs, but PSG's firepower and Parc des Princes advantage make a home win the likeliest outcome.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

PSG arrive on a seven-match winning streak including a 4-2 Champions League victory over Barcelona and have scored 14 goals in five home games this season; Lyon top the table on goal difference but were thrashed 3-0 by Hoffenheim in midweek Europa League action, conceding six in their European campaign, suggesting defensive vulnerability against PSG's potent attack.

GPT-5.6 Sol

PSG enter on a seven-match winning run and carry major attacking momentum from a 4-2 Champions League victory over Barcelona. Lyon have performed well domestically, but their 3-0 European defeat and PSG’s home firepower make the hosts clear favorites.

Qwen3.7 Plus

PSG are in superb form with seven consecutive wins including a 4-2 Champions League victory over Barcelona, and have scored 14 goals in five home games this season. Lyon, while level on points, come off a demoralizing 3-0 Europa League loss to Hoffenheim and have leaked goals in three of their last away matches, making a narrow PSG home win the most likely outcome in this top-of-the-table clash.

Grok 4.5

PSG enter on a seven-game winning streak with strong home scoring form and recent CL momentum, while Lyon sit level on points but arrive after a heavy European defeat and leakier away defence. A home win is most probable, with 2-1 the likeliest exact line given both sides' attacking output.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

PSG are in scintillating form with seven straight wins including a 4-2 demolition of Barcelona, while Lyon arrive off a deflating 3-0 Europa League loss and a leakier defensive record; home advantage at the Parc des Princes against a side that has conceded in three straight away games points to a Paris win, though Lyon's level standing in the table keeps the draw live.

GLM-5.2

PSG enter on a seven-match winning streak including a 4-2 Champions League triumph over Barcelona, while Lyon are reeling from a 3-0 Europa League defeat and have leaked goals away from home. PSG's 14 goals in five home games this autumn should overwhelm Lyon's vulnerable defense.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeParis Saint Germain
1.39
DrawLevel at 90′
5.74
AwayLyon
6.98