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Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans — predictions and result

Paris Saint Germain
90-minute result3–1
Le Mans
Regular Season - 6Parc des Princes

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic3–0
H85%D10%A5%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–0
H73%D18%A9%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle3–0
H79%D14%A7%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–0
H70%D19%A11%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–0
H78%D14%A8%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral3–1
H65%D20%A15%
CorrectExact
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–0
H76%D15%A9%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA3–1
H75%D18%A7%
CorrectExact
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI3–0
H82%D11%A7%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–0
H72%D16%A12%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–0
H68%D20%A12%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–0
H68%D20%A12%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai3–0
H74%D17%A9%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

PSG at the Parc des Princes against newly promoted Le Mans is a huge mismatch in squad quality, and the champions arrive on a three-game winning run including the win over Marseille. Le Mans have been a decent surprise package and will defend deep, so a modest PSG margin rather than a rout is likely.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

PSG's superior individual quality and home advantage should control a promoted Le Mans side missing key creator Adil Bourabaa, though PSG's patchy home form and attacking absences add some uncertainty. A controlled home win is the most likely outcome.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Reigning champions PSG possess an overwhelming talent advantage and home momentum at the Parc des Princes. While newly promoted Le Mans have enjoyed a positive start, they will struggle to withstand Paris's sustained attacking pressure.

Muse Spark 1.2

PSG at Parc des Princes hold clear quality and depth advantage despite early-season 6th place, facing newly promoted Le Mans who will sit deep in numbers; Le Mans have been a surprise package with Bourabaa in form but PSG's control and wide threat should eventually break them down.

MiniMax M3

PSG, despite a disappointing 6th-place standing through 5 rounds, are heavy home favorites against newly promoted Le Mans, who will likely sit deep and defend in numbers per multiple previews. Le Mans's Adil Bourabaa has been in good scoring form (3 goals in 5 games), suggesting a slim chance of a consolation goal, but PSG's superior depth and home advantage should yield a controlled 2-0 win with a likely clean sheet.

Mistral Large 3

PSG are the stronger side on paper, playing at home with superior individual quality and tactical control, while Le Mans are likely to adopt a defensive approach, limiting their attacking threat but leaving gaps for PSG to exploit eventually.

Kimi K3

PSG are defending champions at the Parc des Princes riding three straight wins including a 2-1 over Marseille, and even with some rotation (Safonov, Doué, Godts) their squad depth dwarfs newly promoted Le Mans, who should sit deep and defend in numbers. Le Mans have been a surprise package in 9th with Bourabaa in fine form, so an upset or consolation isn't impossible, but PSG's quality at home makes a comfortable home win by far the most likely outcome.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

PSG's elite home form and attacking depth (Kvaratskhelia, Dembélé, Doué) overwhelm newly promoted Le Mans, though Bourabaa's early-season form gives the visitors a counter-attack threat.

GPT-5.6 Sol

PSG's overwhelming squad-quality advantage and home control should create sustained pressure against newly promoted Le Mans. The visitors may defend deep, but PSG have enough attacking depth to win comfortably.

Qwen3.7 Plus

PSG are the defending champions playing at the Parc des Princes on a three-match winning streak (including 2-1 over Marseille), and should dominate possession and chances against a newly promoted Le Mans side expected to sit deep. Le Mans have shown some attacking spark through Bourabaa, but PSG's quality in midfield (Neves, Zaïre-Emery, Fabian Ruiz) and wide threats should eventually break down a low block, though a clean sheet is plausible given Le Mans' defensive setup.

Grok 4.5

PSG as defending champions and home side hold a clear quality edge over newly promoted Le Mans, who will sit deep; recent PSG form including a win over Marseille supports a controlled home victory with limited goals conceded.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

PSG are defending champions at the Parc des Princes on a three-match winning streak, and their midfield control through Neves and Zaïre-Emery with wide threat from Kvaratskhelia and Dembélé should overwhelm a newly promoted Le Mans side expected to sit deep and defend in numbers.

GLM-5.2

PSG, the defending champions, are at home at the Parc des Princes and enter on a three-match winning streak including a 2-1 win over Marseille, while newly promoted Le Mans are expected to sit deep and defend in numbers. The gulf in quality — PSG's array of Kvaratskhelia, Dembélé, Doué, and Neves versus a Le Mans side only recently promoted — should see PSG break through eventually for a comfortable win.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeParis Saint Germain
1.12
DrawLevel at 90′
10.29
AwayLe Mans
17.70