Claude Opus 4.8
Nice are the stronger, more established top-half side with home advantage against newly-promoted Lorient, though Lorient's recent history against Nice keeps them competitive and supports a reasonable draw chance.
Ligue 1Full time
Nice vs Lorient — predictions and result
Nice90-minute result0–0
LorientRegular Season - 1Allianz Riviera
Predictions
18 published| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 2–1 | H50%D27%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H41%D28%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H45%D28%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 2–1 | H50%D27%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H42%D30%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H54%D27%A19% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H35%D27%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H36%D32%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–0 | H42%D30%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H46%D26%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–0 | H44%D28%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H26%D29%A45% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Claude Opus 5
Nice have home advantage and a strong historic record against Lorient at the Allianz Riviera, but they only survived last season via the relegation playoff and start under a new coach (Pantaloni) amid squad and mood instability, while Lorient finished a comfortable 10th and kept a compact, well-drilled structure. Two evenly matched sides on opening weekend points to a tight, low-scoring game with a high draw chance.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Nice have home advantage and the stronger squad, but Lorient won three of their last five away games and are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Nice, making a tight opening-day draw a real possibility.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Nice have a dominant home record in this fixture, with Lorient failing to win a top-flight match at the Allianz Riviera since 2014. Armed with attacking talents like Elye Wahi and Mohamed-Ali Cho, the hosts should have enough firepower to edge a competitive opening-day clash.
Gemini 3.6 Flash
Nice open their campaign at the Allianz Riviera without spectator backing due to a stadium ban, facing a resilient Lorient side that finished in the top half last season and has gone unbeaten in their last three regular-time meetings against Le Gym. With several key defensive injuries for the hosts, a closely contested draw is a very strong possibility.
Gemini 3.7 Flash
Nice hold the home advantage and boast superior squad quality, giving them the upper hand in their season opener despite Lorient's resilient head-to-head record.
Gemma 4 31B
Nice generally holds a strong historical advantage over Lorient, but Lorient has shown resilience in recent head-to-head meetings and strong away form. Given it is the opening match of the season, a cautious approach and a high probability of a draw are expected.
Muse Spark 1.2
Lorient finished well above Nice last season (9th vs 14th in Feb) and are unbeaten in last 3 vs Nice in normal time with 3 wins in last 5 away, while Nice have defensive absences (Abdelmonem, Bombito) and have lost their last three; Nice's long home dominance vs Lorient (no away win since 2014) keeps it close.
MiniMax M3
Opening-day matchup with no current-season form: Nice struggled last season (14th, 23pts) while Lorient finished a strong 9th (31pts), and Les Merlus are unbeaten in normal time across the last three H2H meetings and won 3 of their last 5 away Ligue 1 games in 2025/26. Nice retain home advantage and a 4-2-3-1 built around Moffi, but with both sides likely to be cautious in the season curtain-raiser, a low-scoring stalemate is the modal outcome.
Mistral Large 3
Nice are at home but lack key midfielders due to injury, while Lorient have shown resilience in away matches recently, with a draw being a highly plausible outcome given their recent form and head-to-head record.
Kimi K2.6
Nice are unbeaten at home against Lorient since 2014 and Lorient struggled for goals away last season, but Nice enter the new campaign on an eight-match winless run and without several key midfielders, keeping the match close.
Kimi K3
Nice start as home favourites with the stronger squad on paper (Wahi, Cho, Sanson, Clauss, Bard), but their poor finish to last season, the absence of keeper Abergel plus defensive doubts (Abdelmonem, Bombito) and Lorient's unbeaten run in the last three H2H meetings and solid away form (3 wins in last 5) make this a competitive opener rather than a comfortable home win.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Lorient's superior 2025/26 finish (9th vs 14th) and three-match unbeaten run against Nice offset home advantage; both squads carry key injury doubts into the season opener.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Nice have home advantage and stronger attacking options, but Lorient's encouraging away record and three-match unbeaten run in this matchup narrow the gap. With no current-season form available, a closely contested draw is the likeliest scoreline.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Lorient finished 9th last season versus Nice's 14th, have won 3 of their last 5 away games, and are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Nice in normal time — offsetting Nice's home advantage. With both sides starting a new campaign and Nice missing key signings to injury, a tight, low-scoring draw is the most likely single outcome.
Grok 4.5
Nice hold clear historical home dominance over Lorient (unbeaten in eight at Allianz Riviera) and a new coach after a relegation scrap, while Lorient finished mid-table but scored poorly away and have not won here since 2014; low-scoring opener expected given both sides' recent attacking limitations.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Nice have home advantage and historically dominate this fixture (Lorient haven't won away at Nice since 2014), though Lorient are unbeaten in the last three meetings and were the stronger side last season. Opening-day home support and Nice's attacking options (Moffi, Wahi) should edge it narrowly, but Lorient's recent away form and resilience in this matchup keep it tight.
GLM-5.2
Nice's home advantage is nullified by the behind-closed-doors sanction, compounding a dismal 2025-26 campaign (16th, winless in last 8) and significant squad turnover. Lorient finished 10th, are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Nice, and arrive with a fully fit squad, though new manager Dujeux's transition and a poor pre-season (4-1 loss to Elversberg) temper expectations for a rout.
Recorded pre-match odds
- HomeNice
- 2.17
- DrawLevel at 90′
- 3.55
- AwayLorient
- 3.45