Monaco
Toulouse| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H55%D23%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H58%D24%A18% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H62%D22%A16% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H58%D24%A18% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H62%D22%A16% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H60%D22%A18% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H59%D24%A17% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–0 | H60%D23%A17% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H58%D24%A18% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H55%D22%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–0 | H62%D22%A16% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Monaco's superior squad depth and strong home scoring run should edge a Toulouse side that has been defensively leaky even in wins, though the visitors' attacking threat and Monaco's injury absences keep this from being a one-sided game.
Monaco are top and unbeaten at home with superior depth, while Toulouse have been inconsistent and defensively leaky on the road. Toulouse's tendency to both score and concede away points to a narrow Monaco win.
Monaco hold a significant quality advantage and reliable scoring form at home, which should prove decisive against a defensively vulnerable Toulouse side.
Monaco's three-game home scoring run and stronger defensive metrics at home outweigh Toulouse's leaky defence despite two unbeaten, with Monaco's depth expected to exploit Toulouse's instability even if shorthanded.
Monaco are clear home favorites with superior squad depth and stronger defensive metrics, while Toulouse arrive defensively leaky (drew with Lorient, lost to Lille, conceded in a 3-2 win over Le Havre). The last head-to-head ended 1-0 to Monaco, but Monaco's home scoring streak suggests a slightly more open game here, with a 2-1 Monaco win the most likely scoreline.
Monaco are in strong form with a deep squad and consistent home scoring record, while Toulouse have been defensively leaky and inconsistent despite a recent win over Le Havre; Monaco's superior quality and head-to-head edge (1-0 last meeting) make them clear favourites, though Toulouse's attacking threat suggests they can get on the scoresheet.
Monaco's superior squad depth, strong home scoring form, and Toulouse's defensive frailties favor the hosts, though Toulouse's recent unbeaten run keeps the draw live.
Monaco have greater squad depth and a stronger recent home scoring trend, while Toulouse have shown defensive vulnerability. Toulouse’s improved recent results give them a reasonable chance to keep the contest competitive.
Monaco's superior squad depth, strong home form, and defensive solidity give them a clear edge over an inconsistent and defensively vulnerable Toulouse side. A controlled home victory is the most likely outcome.
Monaco lead Ligue 1 unbeaten on 13 points with strong home form and depth under Filipe Luís, while Toulouse sit mid-table on 5 points after a leaky but improved 3-2 win, remaining vulnerable defensively on the road. H2H and Monaco's scoring streak favor a home win, though both sides' recent goal involvement points to a 2-1 rather than a clean sheet.
Monaco are strong home favorites with superior squad depth, consistent home scoring, and solid defensive metrics, while Toulouse have shown defensive fragility in recent outings (leaking goals against Le Havre and Lille). Toulouse's attacking capability makes a clean sheet unlikely, but Monaco's quality should see them through.
Monaco's strong home form and superior squad depth should overcome a Toulouse side that has been defensively leaky, conceding multiple goals even in matches they win. Monaco won the last meeting between these teams and are favored to control this match at home.
MonacoToulouse