Monaco
Lille| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Missed | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H44%D28%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Missed | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H37%D32%A31% | Missed | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D35%A25% | Missed | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Missed | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H32%D36%A32% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H39%D30%A31% | Missed | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Missed | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H39%D29%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H34%D36%A30% | Correct | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Both sides arrive level on 14 points from seven games, so this is a tight top-half clash, but Monaco's home record and attacking output under Filipe Luís — fresh off a 3-0 European win — give them a modest edge over a well-organised Lille side that has historically travelled well to the Principality. A draw is a very live outcome given how evenly matched the squads are.
Monaco's home form and midweek Conference League win give them a slight edge, but Lille have won the last three Ligue 1 meetings between the sides and remain hard to beat, making a tight draw the likeliest scoreline.
Both teams are level on 14 points after strong starts to the campaign, but Monaco's home advantage and recent momentum across competitions should give them a slight edge over Lille in a closely contested battle.
Both sides level on 14 points after 7 games with Monaco unbeaten in 6 at home and Lille unbeaten in 12 overall; Lille's recent H2H edge offsets home advantage, pointing to a tight, low-scoring draw as the single most likely scoreline.
Both are top-six sides in strong unbeaten runs — Monaco unbeaten in six at home and Lille unbeaten in 12 — while Monaco has struggled to beat Lille in recent meetings, and Monaco's midweek European commitments add some fatigue risk. With neither side holding a clear edge, a tight, low-scoring contest makes 1-1 the likeliest single outcome.
Both Monaco and Lille are in strong form, with Lille unbeaten in their last 12 matches and Monaco unbeaten in their last six at home. Recent head-to-head trends and their current league positions suggest a tightly contested match, making a draw the most balanced outcome.
Monaco and Lille are level on 14 points after seven rounds (5th vs 4th), making this an even contest where Monaco's home edge and momentum from a 3-0 European win are balanced by patchy league form (L-D-W-D-W) and a recent H2H history of tight, low-margin games.
Both teams sit on 14 points after 7 matches with nearly identical records; Monaco are unbeaten in six at home while Lille arrive on a 12-match unbeaten run, and recent head-to-heads have been tight, low-scoring affairs.
The sides appear closely matched on points, with Monaco’s home advantage offset by Lille’s strong recent record in this matchup. A competitive draw is the likeliest scoreline, though Monaco retain a slight overall win edge.
Monaco and Lille were closely matched in 2025/26 (Lille 4th with 58pts, Monaco 5th-6th with 54pts), and both teams have shown strong form in recent seasons. Monaco's home advantage is offset by Lille's consistent away performances, making this a tightly contested early-season fixture where a draw is highly probable.
Both sides sit level on 14 points after 7 games with Monaco unbeaten at home this season but Lille holding the joint-best Ligue 1 defence and a three-match winning H2H streak; midweek European exertions and historically tight low-scoring meetings point to a shared spoils.
Both sides are level on 14 points with the division's tightest defences, but Monaco's unbeaten home record, five-match home scoring run and momentum (including a win at PSG) plus Lille's taxing Champions League trip to Galatasaray give the hosts a narrow edge. Lille's league-best defensive record (5 conceded) and recent H2H success (1-0 win last meeting) keep this close, with a low-scoring one-goal home win the most likely scoreline.
Both sides are closely matched in the standings with similar point tallies, while Monaco's strong home record is offset by Lille's extended unbeaten run and Monaco's recent struggles against Lille, making a draw the most likely outcome.
MonacoLille