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Marseille vs Strasbourg — predictions and result

Marseille
90-minute result4–0
Strasbourg
Regular Season - 1Orange Vélodrome

Predictions

18 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–1
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H53%D24%A23%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H55%D23%A22%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle2–1
H62%D22%A16%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle2–1
H60%D23%A17%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H60%D23%A17%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–1
H58%D22%A20%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H56%D24%A20%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H57%D25%A18%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H50%D28%A22%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–1
H58%D23%A19%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H57%D24%A19%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H57%D24%A19%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H50%D25%A25%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H55%D25%A20%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H52%D26%A22%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H56%D24%A20%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Marseille's superior attacking depth and strong Vélodrome opening-day home record favor them over a Strasbourg side entering with a new coach and poor pre-season form, though Strasbourg's historically resilient away displays keep the draw live.

Claude Opus 5

Marseille open at the Vélodrome with clearly superior attacking depth (Paixao, Gouiri, Greenwood, Aubameyang) against a young Strasbourg side that has historically travelled poorly, though Le Racing's press and quality on the break keep this from being one-sided and injuries to Egan-Riley/Aguerd weaken the hosts' defence.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Marseille open at the Stade Vélodrome with a significantly stronger attack (Igor Paixão, Amine Gouiri, Mason Greenwood) and closed last season on a 16-point run from six games, while Strasbourg won just 3 of 11 away matches last term and enter matchday one with a shaky defensive record against elite attacks.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Marseille boast a formidable attacking lineup featuring the likes of Amine Gouiri, Mason Greenwood, and Igor Paixão, giving them a significant edge at the Stade Vélodrome. Strasbourg have historically struggled on the road and will likely find it difficult to contain the hosts' firepower in this season opener.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Marseille enter their Ligue 1 opener at the Stade Vélodrome as strong favorites, boasting superior attacking depth and quality across the pitch. While Strasbourg possess creative threats through players like Enciso and Barco, Marseille's firepower and home advantage should see them secure all three points.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Marseille boast superior attacking firepower and home advantage at the Vélodrome, making them clear favorites against a Strasbourg side that has historically struggled away from home against top Ligue 1 opposition.

Gemma 4 31B

Marseille possess a significantly stronger attacking lineup with players like Greenwood and Gouiri, and they have a strong home advantage at the Stade Vélodrome. Strasbourg's historical struggles on the road and Marseille's offensive potency make a home win the most likely outcome.

Muse Spark 1.2

Marseille at Velodrome with superior attacking depth (Paixao in excellent form plus Gouiri, Greenwood/Aubameyang) are favoured against a Strasbourg side that won just 3 of 11 away last season, despite minor defensive doubts (Aguerd, Egan-Riley).

MiniMax M3

Marseille have strong home advantage at Stade Vélodrome and boast attacking depth (Paixão, Gouiri, Aubameyang), while Strasbourg's away form was poor last season (only 3 wins in 11 road matches). However, opening-day uncertainty, Marseille's injury doubts (Moumbagna, Aguerd) and Strasbourg's recent uptick keep the draw and an away upset realistic enough to merit honest weight.

Mistral Large 3

Marseille enter the match as strong favorites due to their superior attacking firepower, home advantage, and recent form, though key absences (Moumbagna, Egan Riley) and Strasbourg's resilience could lead to a competitive draw. Strasbourg's recent struggles away from home and defensive vulnerabilities further tilt the balance toward Marseille.

Kimi K2.6

Marseille’s potent attack, strong record in Ligue 1 home openers and superior pre-season form give them the edge over a Strasbourg side adjusting to a new manager and missing key players.

Kimi K3

Marseille open at the Vélodrome with one of Ligue 1's most potent attacks (63 goals last season) and in-form forwards like Paixão and Gouiri, while Strasbourg won just three away matches last season and finished it with back-to-back defeats. Marseille's minor injury doubts (Aguerd, Moumbagna, Egan-Riley) and Strasbourg's young attacking talent keep an upset or draw plausible, but home quality should prevail as in September's 2-1 H2H.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Marseille's home dominance and high-powered attack (63 goals last season) outweigh Strasbourg's poor away record (3 wins in 11), though Marseille's injury doubts (Moumbagna, Aguerd) may keep the margin narrow.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Marseille’s strong attacking depth and home advantage at the Vélodrome give them the edge. Strasbourg have enough quality to score, but their recent away struggles make a narrow home win most likely.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Marseille open the season at the Vélodrome with a formidable attacking lineup featuring Aubameyang, Greenwood, Paixão, and Gouiri, while Strasbourg struggled on the road last season with just three away wins. Despite minor injury concerns for Marseille, their home advantage and superior attacking depth should see them edge a competitive opener.

Grok 4.5

Marseille enter as clear favorites at the Vélodrome with superior attacking depth (Paixão, Gouiri, Greenwood options) and home advantage for the season opener; Strasbourg remain competitive but historically struggle away, making a narrow home win the most likely outcome while respecting the ~25% draw baseline.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Marseille's strong opening-day home record (unbeaten in last 5, including a 5-2 win last season), deep attacking options under experienced new coach Genesio, and Strasbourg's poor preseason (4 defeats in 5 friendlies) and inexperienced new manager Hugo Oliveira tilt this toward a home win, though Strasbourg's end-of-season unbeaten away run (6 matches) and recent unbeaten streak at the Vélodrome keep the draw and narrow away outcomes in play.

GLM-5.2

Marseille's superior attacking depth (63 goals last season), Genesio's proven Ligue 1 pedigree, and Strasbourg's dreadful pre-season (5 losses in 6) make the hosts clear favorites, though Strasbourg's unbeaten run in their last four Velodrome visits and strong away form to close last campaign suggest they can keep it close and potentially find a goal.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeMarseille
1.75
DrawLevel at 90′
4.17
AwayStrasbourg
4.47