Marseille
Le Havre| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H63%D21%A16% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H62%D21%A17% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H67%D21%A12% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H62%D23%A15% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–0 | H58%D23%A19% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H62%D21%A17% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H63%D22%A15% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H52%D24%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H58%D24%A18% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H63%D22%A15% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H60%D22%A18% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Marseille are a high-scoring side (over two goals per game) facing the league's bottom team, and have dominated this fixture historically, winning the recent meetings comfortably. However, OM's leaky defence (no clean sheet in their last eight) and surprisingly poor Vélodrome record keep Le Havre within range of a goal or a point.
Marseille are far stronger, averaging over two goals per game and winning all five recent head-to-heads, while bottom-placed Le Havre are missing key attacker Koka. Marseille's leaky defence could concede, but they should still control the match at the Vélodrome.
Marseille boast vastly superior attacking firepower and head-to-head dominance over a struggling Le Havre side that has managed just two points this season. With Le Havre lacking threat in the final third, the hosts should comfortably control proceedings at the Vélodrome.
Marseille average over 2 goals per game and dominate H2H (5 straight wins, 35-7 in last 12) against bottom-placed Le Havre (2 points, missing striker Koka), but have conceded in 8 straight and lost 3 of 4 at the Vélodrome, pointing to a home win with both teams scoring.
Marseille's attack is in excellent form (14 goals in 7 league games, Gouiri on 5) and they face bottom-placed Le Havre (2 points, only 5 goals scored, no away win this season) who are without Mambimbi, Zagadou and Jelert, so the hosts should control a 2-0 win; this is tempered by OM's shaky Vélodrome record (2 defeats in 3 home games) and third match in 11 days with a Europa League game against Leverkusen looming, which keeps the draw and an upset at non-trivial levels.
Marseille dominate this matchup historically (five straight H2H wins, a 35-7 goal aggregate across the last 12 meetings) and face a Le Havre side bottom of the table with 2 points and missing striker Koka; however, Marseille's eight-game run without a clean sheet and patchy home form mean Le Havre likely score and an upset can't be ruled out.
Marseille's attacking output (2+ goals/game) and dominant H2H record outweigh their poor home form and defensive frailty, while Le Havre sit bottom with just 2 points and miss key attackers Koka and Casimir.
Marseille have a substantial attacking and historical edge, having won the five most recent meetings, while Le Havre have struggled for points. Marseille’s defensive vulnerability and poor recent home record leave a meaningful chance of a draw or consolation goal.
Marseille's potent attack (averaging 2+ goals per game) and dominant H2H record should overcome their leaky defense and poor home form against a Le Havre side sitting 18th with just 2 points and missing striker Koka. However, Marseille's three home defeats in four Vélodrome matches and eight-game run without a clean sheet keep Le Havre's chances of a grinding result realistic.
Marseille sit mid-table with stronger attacking output and dominant recent H2H (including heavy home wins), while bottom-side Le Havre have just 2 points and limited scoring threat; OM's leaky defence keeps the draw and narrow away chance alive but home edge should prevail.
Marseille dominate this head-to-head (five straight wins, 35 goals in the last 12 meetings against just 7 conceded) and average over two goals per game, while Le Havre sit bottom with 2 points and a blunt attack missing key forwards. Marseille's run of eight straight matches without a clean sheet and three home defeats in four makes a shutout unlikely, so a controlled home win with a goal conceded — 2-1 — is the most likely scoreline.
Marseille's attacking output (2+ goals per game, fresh off a 5-2 win at Angers) and dominant H2H record (five straight wins vs Le Havre) should outweigh their defensive frailties and poor home form, though Le Havre may find the net given OM's eight-match clean-sheet drought.
MarseilleLe Havre