Lyon
Rennes| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H45%D27%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H49%D26%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H47%D25%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H52%D25%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H45%D26%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H50%D25%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H46%D27%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H46%D27%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H44%D28%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Two well-matched sides in early-season form — Lyon (8 pts, 5th) hold home advantage and a strong recent H2H record, but Haise's Rennes sit above them on 10 points and are unbeaten in four; both played Europa League ties on Thursday, so rotation and fatigue add to the likelihood of a tight, low-margin game.
Lyon's strong home record against Rennes—winning each of the last two home meetings with four goals scored—and their attacking form at Parc OL point to a narrow home win, though Rennes' unbeaten start makes it close.
Lyon enter in strong domestic form at Groupama Stadium, and their offensive firepower should give them the edge over a competitive Rennes side.
Lyon have strong home momentum with three straight Ligue 1 wins and 2 wins in last 3 home meetings vs Rennes (4-1 last season), but Rennes arrive on a four-game winning streak under Franck Haise just one point behind Lyon, pointing to a tight, high-scoring home edge.
Lyon have a strong home record against Rennes, including a 4-1 win in this exact fixture last season, and Paulo Fonseca's side have attacking quality (Openda, Nuamah, Šulc) to trouble an improving but still traveling Rennes outfit managed by Franck Haise; however, with both teams in good form and early-season variance, a one-goal margin and a meaningful draw probability are warranted.
Both sides are unbeaten early in 2026/27 (Rennes 10 pts in 3rd, Lyon 8 pts in 5th) and both played in the Europa League on Wednesday, so fatigue is roughly balanced. Lyon get the nod thanks to their dominant recent home record in this fixture (4-1 and 4-2 wins), their strong home scoring run, and Fonseca's superior head-to-head record against Haise, though Rennes' form keeps an away result or draw very live.
Lyon have a strong recent home record vs Rennes (4-1 last season) and Paulo Fonseca holds a 3W-2D-1L edge over Franck Haise; Lyon's attack led by Openda should edge a tight contest at Parc OL.
Lyon's strong recent home record against Rennes and greater attacking quality give them the edge. Rennes should remain competitive under Franck Haise, while Lyon's midweek European fixture increases the draw and away-win chances.
Lyon are strong at home and have won their last two home meetings against Rennes (4-2 and 4-1 last season), but Rennes arrive in the best form in Ligue 1 — unbeaten with 10 points from four matches, including a draw against PSG. Lyon's 0-0 draw with Paris FC in their last league outing and midweek Europa League exertions on both sides suggest a tight, high-quality encounter where home advantage gives Lyon a narrow edge.
Both sides remain unbeaten after four games, but Lyon hold the defensive edge (2 conceded) and a strong recent home H2H record including a 4-2 win last May, while Rennes' attack (8 goals) is potent yet leakier. Home advantage and midweek European recovery favour a narrow Lyon victory.
Lyon's strong home record against Rennes (won last 2 at Parc OL) and unbeaten league start give them the edge, but Rennes sit 3rd with 10 points and remain unbeaten this season, making this a tight contest with goals expected from both sides given Rennes' 19 goals conceded in 9 previous meetings against Lyon.
Lyon hold a strong home record with only three home losses all season and a convincing 4-1 win in this fixture last year, while Fonseca holds a positive head-to-head edge over Haise (3W-2D-1L). However, Rennes are much-improved under Haise and on a four-match winning streak, which keeps this competitive and elevates the draw and away chances.
LyonRennes