Lyon
Le Havre| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–0 | H63%D22%A15% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–0 | H62%D23%A15% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H64%D22%A14% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 2–0 | H62%D22%A16% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H58%D24%A18% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H60%D22%A18% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H50%D28%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–0 | H58%D24%A18% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H48%D29%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–0 | H63%D23%A14% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H52%D25%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–0 | H58%D25%A17% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–0 | H58%D23%A19% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–0 | H60%D24%A16% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Lyon are a clearly stronger, deeper squad at home against a Le Havre side that has repeatedly battled relegation and struggles for goals away from home; midweek European duty risks some rotation and a modest energy drop, which caps the margin rather than the outcome.
Lyon's stronger squad and home advantage should control a Le Havre side that has struggled for wins and goals, though midweek Champions League rotation slightly increases the chance of a tighter game.
Lyon possess superior squad depth and quality at Groupama Stadium, while Le Havre consistently struggle for attacking output on the road against top-tier opposition.
Lyon possesses a significantly stronger squad and historical advantage, while Le Havre has struggled with poor form and defensive instability. Despite potential rotation due to a recent UCL fixture, Lyon's quality at home should outweigh Le Havre's struggles.
Lyon at home are still favourites despite likely rotation 3 days after the Fenerbahçe UCL tie, facing a Le Havre side winless in five and blunt in attack (0 shots on target at Brest) with 7 losses in 9; Lyon's depth and historical edge (3 wins in last 6 meetings) points to a narrow low-scoring home win.
Lyon have a clear quality edge and home advantage, but the 3-day UCL turnaround (vs Fenerbahçe) suggests squad rotation that limits dominance, while Le Havre remain a weaker side with chronic away issues and a thin attack — so Lyon still favored but a single-goal margin with Le Havre able to nick one is the most realistic outcome.
Lyon are likely to field a rotated but still strong side after a UCL game, while Le Havre's recent form and defensive struggles suggest they will struggle to secure points, despite their resilience. Lyon's home advantage and superior squad depth tilt the balance in their favor.
Lyon at home are clear favourites against a Le Havre side that perennially battles relegation, struggles badly away, and carries little attacking threat. Lyon's midweek Champions League fixture means likely rotation, which slightly tempers their edge and keeps draw/away probabilities honest, but the gulf in quality should still decide it.
Lyon's UCL fixture three days prior likely forces rotation, blunting their home advantage against a Le Havre side that lost seven of their last nine league matches; H2H history favors Lyon but early-season uncertainty keeps the draw probability high.
Lyon have substantially greater squad quality and home advantage, while Le Havre enter with a history of attacking and defensive struggles. Lyon's short turnaround from Champions League action and likely rotation slightly increase the draw risk.
Lyon are the stronger side with Champions League pedigree and have won 3 of the last 6 meetings, but squad rotation is likely with a UCL fixture just 3 days prior. Le Havre are a relegation-level side that struggled last season, though they may exploit any Lyon fatigue to keep it competitive.
Lyon opened with a solid 2-0 away win and historically dominate Le Havre at home (unbeaten this century), while Le Havre lost their opener 0-1 and rank among the league's weaker, low-scoring sides. Midweek European fatigue may limit the margin but not overturn Lyon's clear quality edge.
Lyon are significantly stronger and have home advantage, having won 3 of the last 6 H2H meetings, while Le Havre lost 7 of their last 9 league games and are historically poor away. Lyon's UCL commitments 3 days prior may cause some rotation but their depth should still be more than enough against a Le Havre side that barely survived relegation last season and struggled to create chances (0 shots on target in their most recent outing).
Lyon's dominant home record (71% win rate, 8 clean sheets at home last season) and historical edge over Le Havre (unbeaten at home this century) make them strong favourites, though UCL playoff fatigue three days prior introduces some rotation risk. Le Havre's attacking struggles — failing to score in 3 of the last 4 H2H meetings and missing three key players to injury — point toward a comfortable Lyon clean sheet.
LyonLe Havre