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Lyon vs Auxerre — predictions and result

Lyon
90-minute result3–1
Auxerre
Regular Season - 3Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–0
H63%D22%A15%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H68%D20%A12%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–0
H62%D22%A16%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H62%D23%A15%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H63%D22%A15%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H50%D28%A22%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H58%D23%A19%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H52%D26%A22%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–0
H62%D23%A15%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H55%D24%A21%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–0
H62%D22%A16%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H58%D22%A20%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H66%D21%A13%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Lyon are a clearly stronger side at home with a settled Fonseca structure and an unbeaten start, while Auxerre have struggled defensively in the opening fortnight and travel with limited attacking threat. Expect Lyon to control possession and win by around two goals, with a modest draw chance if Auxerre sit deep and frustrate them.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Lyon have an unbeaten start and are strong at Groupama Stadium, while Auxerre sit bottom with two defeats and the league's worst defensive record, plus several defensive absentees.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Lyon possess far greater attacking firepower and quality across the pitch, making them strong favorites to control proceedings and secure a comfortable home victory against an Auxerre side that has struggled defensively.

Muse Spark 1.2

Lyon are unbeaten after two games (4pts) and unbeaten in 7 home meetings vs Auxerre at Groupama, while Auxerre are bottom with 0pts and league-worst 8 goals conceded in 2 games despite creating chances. Home dominance and Auxerre's defensive vulnerability point to a Lyon win with both teams scoring.

MiniMax M3

Lyon are heavy home favorites at Groupama Stadium under Fonseca, building on an unbeaten start and fielding a strong attacking line featuring Openda, Nuamah and Tolisso. Auxerre, managed by Will Still, have struggled in their opening fortnight and their defence is expected to concede space, though they possess enough quality on the counter (Faivre, Namaso) to nick a goal, making 2-1 the most plausible single scoreline.

Mistral Large 3

Lyon, under Paulo Fonseca, are expected to assert home dominance at Groupama Stadium, leveraging their attacking depth and Auxerre's defensive vulnerabilities. However, Auxerre's tactical discipline and potential to slow the game could make a draw a credible outcome.

Kimi K3

Lyon under Paulo Fonseca have made an unbeaten start and field a clearly stronger squad (Tolisso, Tagliafico, Niakhaté, Openda) at home, while Will Still's Auxerre have had a difficult opening fortnight and tend to concede space in defence. Home advantage and the gulf in quality make a Lyon win most likely, though Auxerre's attacking options (Faivre, Namaso) keep the draw and an away upset as live possibilities.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Lyon under Paulo Fonseca have home advantage at Groupama Stadium and an unbeaten start, while Auxerre under Will Still have had a difficult opening fortnight; Lois Openda's form and Auxerre's defensive vulnerabilities point to a home win with both teams scoring.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Lyon have the stronger squad and home advantage, with Openda adding a potent threat against an Auxerre defence reportedly struggling early in the campaign. Auxerre may slow the contest, but Lyon should create enough chances to win.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Lyon are at home with an unbeaten start to the season and a significantly stronger squad featuring Lois Openda and Corentin Tolisso, while Auxerre have endured a difficult opening fortnight. The tactical preview suggests Lyon should impose themselves at Groupama Stadium, though Auxerre's defensive setup and Ligue 1 parity keep the draw and away probabilities meaningful.

Grok 4.5

Lyon sit unbeaten with 4 points from two games and a strong home record, while Auxerre are pointless, bottom, and have shipped eight goals already; historical dominance at Groupama and Auxerre's defensive frailty point to a controlled home win.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Lyon are unbeaten after two matches with a strong home record (32 of 40 unbeaten at Groupama Stadium) and face an Auxerre side that has conceded 8 goals in two games, though Auxerre have shown they can still score in defeat. The visitors' extensive injury list (Okoh, Senaya, S. Fofana, Dioussé) further weakens an already porous defence, making a Lyon win the most likely outcome.

GLM-5.2

Lyon are unbeaten with 4 points from 2 games and boast a formidable home record, while Auxerre sit bottom with 8 goals conceded in 2 matches and multiple defensive injuries. Auxerre have scored in recent visits to Lyon, suggesting they can grab one, but Lyon's superior quality should prevail comfortably.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeLyon
1.53
DrawLevel at 90′
4.53
AwayAuxerre
6.12