Lorient
Toulouse| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–0 | H38%D32%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H44%D28%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H43%D28%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H41%D33%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–0 | H38%D29%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–0 | H45%D30%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H42%D30%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–0 | H43%D28%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–0 | H42%D30%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–0 | H39%D29%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H37%D38%A25% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Lorient have started brightly (including a home win over Lens) and get the Stade du Moustoir advantage, but Toulouse are the more talented squad despite a sluggish one-point opening, and this fixture has a strong recent history of tight, low-scoring, often drawn games.
Lorient have momentum and home advantage after winning 1-0 at Lens, while Toulouse are winless and likely missing first-choice keeper Restes, but both attacks have been blunt and the head-to-head is draw-heavy, making a narrow low-scoring home edge most likely.
Lorient enter with positive momentum following a solid home victory over Lens, whereas Toulouse have endured a sluggish start with just one point from three matches. Home advantage at the Stade du Moustoir gives Lorient the edge to edge out a narrow victory.
Lorient have 4 points from 3 games (8th) and coming off a 1-0 win at Lens while Toulouse have just 1 point (17th) and back-to-back home defeats, but both have scored only twice in three games and Toulouse are unbeaten in 9 league meetings (W4 D5) with Lorient, so a tight low-scoring home edge is most likely.
Lorient hold home advantage and have a recent narrow home win over Lens, while Toulouse sit near the relegation zone with just one point from three games; H2H meetings have been tight (50% draws in the last six), keeping the draw probability honest, but Lorient's home form edges them as slight favorites for a low-scoring win.
Lorient have shown early-season resilience with a narrow home win over Lens, but Toulouse's balanced head-to-head history and recent competitive meetings suggest a tightly contested match. Key injuries for Lorient and Toulouse's struggles in away form further balance the probabilities.
Lorient carry better early form (4 pts, fresh off a 1-0 win at Lens) and home advantage against a winless Toulouse side with one point from three, but Toulouse are unbeaten in the last nine league meetings with Lorient and both teams have struggled badly for goals, pointing to a tight, low-scoring contest with the draw very live.
Lorient's stronger early-season form (8th place with a home win over Lens) and home advantage outweigh Toulouse's recent head-to-head successes, though a 50% historical draw rate in this fixture keeps the draw probability substantial.
Lorient’s home advantage and reported stronger start give them a modest edge, but the teams’ balanced head-to-head history points to a tight, low-scoring contest with substantial draw potential.
Lorient enjoy a clear home advantage and sit 8th after a narrow home win over Lens, while Toulouse are languishing near the relegation zone on just one point from three matches. However, the historically high draw rate in this fixture (50% in last six H2H) and both sides' early-season struggles keep the contest tight, favouring a low-scoring Lorient edge.
Lorient sit 8th with 4pts and fresh off a 1-0 win at Lens, while winless Toulouse (1pt, 17th) arrive with a possible Restes injury and just two goals scored all season; both sides are low-scoring so a narrow home win or draw is likeliest despite Toulouse's strong recent H2H.
Lorient have the better current form (8th, 4pts, just won 1-0 at Lens) and home advantage, but Toulouse are unbeaten in the last 9 Ligue 1 H2H meetings (W4 D5) and both sides are low-scoring (2 goals each in 3 games), making a tight, low-scoring contest likely. Toulouse may also be without first-choice GK Restes, tipping a narrow home win as the single most likely scoreline.
Both sides are low-scoring (2 goals each in 3 games) with a 40% draw rate in their Ligue 1 H2H history, while Toulouse's 9-match unbeaten streak against Lorient counterbalances Lorient's home advantage and superior recent form.
LorientToulouse