Lille
Stade Brestois 29| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H52%D27%A21% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H45%D26%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H38%D29%A33% | Missed | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H47%D26%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H50%D27%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Missed | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H43%D27%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H45%D31%A24% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Lille have the stronger squad and a solid home record at Pierre-Mauroy, but Brest arrive in decent early-season form with a potent attack (5-1 win over Angers) and Lille's defence has looked leaky, so a tight, open game with a narrow home win is most likely.
Lille's strong home record, joint-best Ligue 1 defence and dominant home H2H against Brest give them the edge, while Brest carry an attacking threat but concede regularly and have struggled away.
Lille boast superior squad depth and a formidable home record at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, giving them the edge over an enterprising Brest side.
Lille hold home advantage but arrive with a leaky pre-season defence, while Brest bring the league's best attack after a 5-1 win over Angers; Brest's 2-2-2 start suggests they can score away, making a narrow high-scoring home win most likely in a tight matchup.
Brest enter with the league's best attack after a 5-1 demolition of Angers, but Lille's home advantage and Brest missing Le (likely Lees-Melou in midfield) balance things out. Lille's lackluster pre-season where they conceded heavily tempers their edge, making a low-scoring stalemate the modal outcome.
Lille's lackluster pre-season form and Stade Brestois 29's strong offensive display in their last outing suggest a closely contested match. Brest's away performance and Lille's defensive vulnerabilities increase the likelihood of a draw or a narrow win for either side.
Lille's superior squad quality and strong recent home record in this matchup make them moderate favorites at Pierre-Mauroy, though their shaky pre-season defensive form tempers confidence. Brest arrive in good attacking shape (a 5-1 win over Angers, sitting 7th at 2-2-2) with Ajorque leading the line, so an away upset or a score draw is very live.
Brest's potent early-season attack (5-1 win vs Angers, best attack in league) and home advantage at Stade Francis-Le Blé outweigh Lille's poor pre-season defensive record (conceded heavily, only 3 wins in 6).
Lille's stronger overall squad and home advantage make them favourites, though their defensive uncertainty and Brest's attacking threat keep the draw and away-win probabilities meaningful.
Lille hold home advantage but endured a poor pre-season conceding heavily, while Brest arrive in strong form with the league's best attack fresh off a 5-1 win over Angers. This points to a tightly contested match where Brest's offensive threat neutralizes Lille's home edge, making a draw the most likely single outcome.
Lille at home hold a modest edge as the stronger historical side despite a patchy pre-season, while Brest arrive with recent high-scoring form (5-1 win) but face tougher away conditions; a narrow home win is the modal outcome with draws remaining common in Ligue 1.
Lille are unbeaten at home this season with the joint-fewest goals conceded in Ligue 1 (0.7 per game) and have never lost to Brest at Stade Pierre-Mauroy this century, while Brest's potent attack (second-highest xG ratio) is offset by defensive fragility (9 goals conceded) and an inability to hold leads away from home, having dropped 5 points from winning positions on the road.
Lille's strong home record (unbeaten at Stade Pierre-Mauroy) and 2nd-place standing make them favorites, but Champions League fatigue from a midweek Arsenal loss and a strong H2H draw tendency (3 of last 6, both meetings last season level) elevate the draw probability. Brest's high xG and habit of scoring first away suggest they'll find the net, but their defensive injuries and poor record at Lille (no win since 1989) point to a narrow home victory.
LilleStade Brestois 29