Lille
Paris Saint Germain| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–2 | H27%D28%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H25%D23%A52% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H24%D29%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–2 | H24%D26%A50% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H25%D27%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H22%D26%A52% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–2 | H22%D25%A53% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H25%D26%A49% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H27%D28%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H20%D25%A55% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–2 | H20%D30%A50% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H26%D28%A46% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H20%D24%A56% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H27%D25%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H26%D27%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H27%D28%A45% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
PSG are far superior in quality and unbeaten in 10 straight competitive meetings with Lille, but are still finding cohesion early-season after a 2-2 home draw with Rennes and late World Cup returnees, while an in-form Lille (2-0 at Angers) with strong home pressing keeps this close and elevates the draw chance.
PSG remain the clear class of Ligue 1 with far greater squad depth, and even away from home they should edge this, though early-season sharpness and Lille's strong record at Pierre-Mauroy (plus a hostile Friday-night atmosphere) keep this from being a formality.
PSG's deeper squad and strong recent record in this fixture make them marginal favourites, but Dembélé's absence and Lille's organised 2-0 opening win at a tough home venue point to a tight contest, with 1-1 the most plausible scoreline.
Despite a sluggish start to the season with a draw against Rennes and a Trophée des Champions loss, PSG's sheer squad quality and historical dominance in this fixture give them the edge. Lille are strong at home and will likely find the net given PSG's recent defensive frailties, but the Parisians' attacking firepower should secure a narrow away victory.
After opening their title defense with a 2-2 draw at Rennes, PSG will look to assert their dominance against a Lille side that defeated Angers 2-0. Although Lille are formidable at home, PSG's superior attacking quality and strong recent head-to-head record give the champions the edge.
Paris Saint-Germain possess superior attacking depth and quality across the pitch, but Lille at Stade Pierre-Mauroy remain a tough test capable of finding the net.
PSG remains the dominant force in Ligue 1 with superior individual quality and depth compared to Lille. While Lille is strong at home, PSG's tactical consistency under Luis Enrique makes them the clear favorites.
PSG are unbeaten in 10 vs Lille (3 wins 2 draws in last 5) and have full squad availability while Lille miss Igamane, but Lille won their opener and are tough at Stade Pierre-Mauroy in August. PSG's superior depth and attack (Dembele, Kvaratskhelia, Doue) should edge a tight away win.
PSG enter as the marginal favorites given their superior squad depth and recent dominance in this fixture, but Lille at home in an early-season match are typically well-organized and hard to break down, making a low-scoring away win the most likely single outcome while keeping the draw probability honest at ~28%.
Paris Saint-Germain are historically stronger and enter the season with a squad capable of overcoming challenges, as highlighted by their manager. Lille, while competitive at home, are likely to face a tough test against PSG's quality and depth.
PSG's superior squad depth and 10-game unbeaten H2H record make them favorites even without Dembélé and Mendes, but Lille's perfect start under Davide Ancelotti and strong home opener form keep the draw probability high.
PSG remain favourites on squad quality and a 10-match unbeaten H2H streak against Lille, but they arrive in poor shape: a 2-2 opening draw at Rennes after losing the Trophée des Champions, Dembélé injured, Nuno Mendes suspended, and a destabilising summer (Ramos and Lee sold, Barcola deal looming, Luis Enrique publicly frustrated). Lille beat Angers 2-0 away, have won their home opener four years running with one goal conceded, and haven't lost a home league game in August since 2022 — so this profiles as a tight contest where the draw (last season's 1-1 at this venue) is very live and 1-1 is the modal scoreline even with an away win as the likeliest single result.
PSG's significantly deeper squad (Kvaratskhelia, Dembélé, Barcola, Doué, Ferran Torres, Vitinha, João Neves) and Luis Enrique's tactical control outweigh Lille's new-manager bounce under Davide Ancelotti, though Lille's 2-0 opening win and home advantage keep the draw probability high early in the season.
PSG’s superior squad quality and attacking depth make them favorites, though Lille’s home advantage gives them a credible chance of keeping the match competitive.
PSG's superior squad quality and depth make them clear favorites even away from home, but Lille's strong home record and the early-season nature of Round 2 keep this competitive with a meaningful draw probability.
PSG remain clear favorites as five-time defending champions with superior squad depth despite missing Dembele and Mendes, while Lille's solid 2-0 opener and home press make a tight contest likely; recent H2H favors PSG but Lille often keep it close at Pierre-Mauroy.
PSG's squad quality and 10-game unbeaten run against Lille make them slight favorites despite their shaky defensive start to the season, but Lille's strong home form and winning momentum under Ancelotti make this a tight contest likely decided by a single goal.
PSG are the stronger side with a 10-match unbeaten run against Lille and haven't dropped points in their first two league outings since 2023-24, but early-season defensive vulnerabilities (conceding in three straight) and Lille's strong home form under Ancelotti suggest a competitive, narrow away win rather than a rout.
LilleParis Saint Germain