Lille
Estac Troyes| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–0 | H68%D20%A12% | Correct | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H65%D22%A13% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H67%D21%A12% | Correct | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–0 | H62%D23%A15% | Correct | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–0 | H63%D23%A14% | Correct | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–0 | H63%D23%A14% | Correct | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H58%D27%A15% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–0 | H65%D22%A13% | Correct | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–0 | H58%D23%A19% | Correct | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H58%D24%A18% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H52%D25%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–0 | H67%D20%A13% | Correct | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Lille are a strong, settled top-half side at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy and have started well defensively, while newly promoted Troyes are among the weakest squads in the division and face a tough away trip. Expect a controlled home win, with a modest draw allowance given Lille's occasional dropped points.
Lille are the stronger side with an unbeaten league start and home advantage, while promoted Troyes arrive after a 6-2 defeat and with defensive injuries. Troyes have scored in every league game so far, so a home win with a consolation away goal looks most likely.
Lille boast superior squad quality and home advantage at Stade Pierre-Mauroy against an Estac Troyes side that faces a difficult test adjusting to top-tier opposition away from home.
Lille at Stade Pierre-Mauroy are clear favourites against newly-promoted Troyes with superior squad quality and depth; Troyes face a steep step up away from home and are likely to sit deep and struggle to create high-quality chances.
Lille are a clear tier above Troyes in squad quality and have a strong home record at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, while Troyes are a small, promotion/relegation-level side; Lille's likely good early-season form (per their WDW sequence in the partial standings) makes them heavy favorites, though draws should be given a fair ~23% weight given Troyes's typical resilience in low-block setups.
Lille, a historically stronger Ligue 1 side, plays at home against a newly promoted or recently struggling Estac Troyes. Recent head-to-head results (including a 3-0 Troyes win in 2022 and a 1-1 draw in 2023) show Troyes can compete, but Lille's overall quality and home advantage make them clear favorites.
Lille have opened 2026/27 unbeaten (W-D-W, 7 pts, only 2 goals conceded) and are an established top-five Ligue 1 side playing at home, while Troyes are newly promoted and, despite a respectable mid-table start, face a clear quality and depth gap at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Expect Lille to control the game with a clean-sheet-type win, though a promoted side's early-season resilience keeps the draw live.
Lille are an established top-four side under new coach Davide Ancelotti with a deep squad (Giroud, Haraldsson, Ueda, André) and have started 2026-27 with 2 wins and a draw in Ligue 1 plus a midweek Champions League loss to Real Betis. Troyes return to Ligue 1 as Ligue 2 champions (67 pts, 60 goals) with City Group backing and a dangerous attack led by Martin Adeline, but face a significant step up in class away at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Lille's home strength and superior squad depth outweigh Troyes' promotion momentum, though the visitors' attacking threat and Lille's European fatigue keep the draw probability honest.
Lille’s stronger top-flight pedigree and home advantage make them clear favorites against newly promoted Troyes. With no current-season form available, a controlled home win is the likeliest outcome.
Lille has started the season strongly with 7 points from their first three matches and possesses a clear quality advantage at home against a newly promoted Troyes side. Expect Lille to control the match and secure a comfortable victory.
Lille are unbeaten with 7 points from 3 games and a solid defense (only 2 conceded), while promoted Troyes have leaked 7 goals already including a 6-2 thrashing. Home advantage and superior quality make a Lille win the clear most likely outcome, though Troyes can score.
Lille are the significantly stronger side historically and have home advantage at Stade Pierre-Mauroy; Troyes are typically a lower-table promoted side, but early-season unpredictability and Ligue 1's fairly competitive nature keep the draw and upset probabilities meaningful.
Lille are unbeaten with 7 points from 3 games under new coach Davide Ancelotti, scoring freely while conceding just twice. Newly-promoted Troyes have the worst defensive record in the league (7 conceded in 3, including a 6-2 home thrashing by Strasbourg) and have lost key players to transfers, making a comfortable home win the most likely outcome.
LilleEstac Troyes