Le Mans
Toulouse| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H29%D27%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–2 | H30%D36%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H34%D26%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H28%D26%A46% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H30%D27%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H32%D30%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H30%D27%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H33%D29%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H32%D28%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H36%D30%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H31%D36%A33% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Toulouse carry clearly more top-flight quality than newly promoted Le Mans, with Tengstedt in sharp scoring form, while Le Mans have looked defensively vulnerable despite a decent showing against PSG. Home advantage at the Stade Marie-Marvingt and both teams' level points tally keep this close, so a draw is a live outcome, but a narrow Toulouse win is the single likeliest result.
Le Mans are unbeaten and draw-prone at home, while Toulouse have drawn all three away games 2-2 and both defences are conceding regularly. With Mafouta and Tengstedt in scoring form, a high-scoring draw is the likeliest outcome.
Both sides are level on points in the lower half of the table with leaky defenses and competitive forward lines. Toulouse hold a slight attacking edge behind in-form Kasper Tengstedt, but home advantage should help Le Mans earn a share of the points.
Both sides sit on 6 points in the lower mid-table but Toulouse carry the sharper attack with Tengstedt scoring 4 in his last 3, while Le Mans looked vulnerable defensively in the 3-1 loss to PSG despite a decent performance; home advantage keeps Le Mans close but Toulouse to edge it 1-2 in an open game.
Toulouse arrive with the league's hottest striker in Kasper Tengstedt (4 goals in last 3) and face a Le Mans side that just shipped 3 to PSG and have looked defensively fragile all season, while Le Mans' home attacking threat (Mafouta/Diallo) and home advantage keep this from being a one-sided pick and sustain draw value at a competitive 26%.
Both teams are evenly matched in the standings with identical points and recent defensive vulnerabilities, but Toulouse's attacking form (especially Kasper Tengstedt's recent goal streak) and slight edge in offensive output make them marginal favorites. The draw is a realistic outcome given the closeness of the teams.
Le Mans and Toulouse are level on six points, but Toulouse carry the more convincing attacking form — Tengstedt has four goals in his last three — while Le Mans, despite a spirited performance in their 3-1 loss to PSG, look defensively vulnerable. Toulouse's established top-flight quality makes an away win the single most likely outcome, though with both sides conceding freely a high-scoring draw is very live.
Both teams sit on 6 points with similar form, but Toulouse carry the in-form Kasper Tengstedt (4 goals in 3 games) and Le Mans have shown defensive vulnerability despite a credible 2-2 draw with Monaco. Slight edge to the visitors in what should be an open, goal-heavy match.
Both sides have started with six points, but Toulouse’s greater top-flight quality and Tengstedt’s strong scoring form give them the edge. Le Mans retain a meaningful chance at home, particularly against a Toulouse defense that has looked vulnerable.
Both teams sit level on 6 points in the lower half, but Toulouse's attack is in superior form with Kasper Tengstedt netting four in his last three matches, giving them the edge in what projects as an open, goal-filled encounter. Le Mans are vulnerable defensively (conceding 3 vs PSG, 2 vs Monaco) and despite home advantage, Toulouse's offensive momentum makes a narrow away win the most likely single outcome.
Both sides sit on 6 points mid-table early in the season; Toulouse's stronger attacking form (Tengstedt in particular) and Le Mans' recent heavy loss to PSG tilt the edge slightly to the visitors in a likely open game.
Both teams sit on 6 points with similar form and share defensive vulnerabilities—Le Mans lead Ligue 1 in penalties conceded (3) and have dropped 6 points from winning positions, while Toulouse are wasteful in front of goal (5th in big chances missed). Le Mans have been unbeaten at home for over a year, and Toulouse remain unbeaten on the road this season, pointing to a tight, entertaining draw between two attack-minded but defensively fragile sides.
Both teams are level on points with identical W-D-L records, while Le Mans' strong home unbeaten run (over a year) is counterbalanced by Toulouse's unbeaten away form and resilience shown in their 2-2 comeback at Monaco. Le Mans' defensive frailties (league-high penalties conceded, points dropped from winning positions) and Toulouse's profligacy in front of goal suggest neither side will dominate, making a draw the most likely outcome.
Le MansToulouse